Should I Buy NRP? NRP 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

114.970

1 Day change

0.63%

52 Week Range

113.040

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

NRP is not a good buy right now. Despite a bullish medium-term trend (stacked moving averages) and strong profitability growth, the short-term setup looks unfavorable for an impatient buyer: options positioning is decisively defensive (puts dominate), the MACD is still positive but losing momentum, and the pattern-based forecast leans to mild downside over the next day/week/month. I would avoid initiating a new position at the current pre-market price (~114.97) and only reconsider after a pullback toward support.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish overall with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 (price structure supports an uptrend). Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.436) but “positively contracting,” indicating upside momentum is fading. RSI(6)=63.49 is neutral-to-slightly-warm (not overbought), but not a fresh breakout signal either. Levels: Pivot ~106.31; resistance levels listed at ~109.13 and ~110.87 are already below the current pre-market price (~114.97), implying price is extended beyond the provided resistance band and more vulnerable to mean reversion. Quant/Pattern outlook: Similar-candlestick analysis suggests a 70% chance of -1.07% next day, -1.83% next week, -1.81% next month—tilting short-term risk to the downside.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment/Positioning: Put open interest (4038) materially exceeds call open interest (1474), and both open-interest and volume put/call ratios are >1 (OI PCR 2.74; Volume PCR 2.0). That typically reads as cautious-to-bearish positioning or heavy hedging demand rather than bullish speculation. Volatility: 30D IV ~35.49 vs historical vol ~20.75 (options pricing in elevated moves), but IV percentile (13.2) and IV rank (7.74) are low, meaning IV is relatively subdued versus its own history—less supportive of “urgent” upside optionality demand. Activity: Today’s option volume is small (21 contracts) but elevated vs avg (today vs avg 30D ~45.65), so the bearish skew is notable even on light absolute volume.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Hedge fund flow: Hedge funds are reported as buying aggressively (+6772.69% QoQ buying amount), which can support the trend. Earnings catalyst ahead: Next earnings scheduled 2026-02-27 (pre-market), which could re-rate the stock if results and distributions/royalty outlook surprise positively. Profitability trend: Net income and EPS are growing YoY, which can attract income/value buyers even if revenue is slightly down.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

signals defensive sentiment and raises the odds of near-term downside/hedging pressure. Momentum cooling: MACD is still positive but contracting—often a precursor to consolidation or pullback. Statistical/pattern bias: Model indicates higher probability of modest declines across the next day/week/month. No supportive news flow: No recent week news catalysts to counteract the bearish near-term signals. Event risk: Earnings (2026-02-
introduces uncertainty; without a clear edge signal today, buying now exposes you to pre-earnings drift risk.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue: $51.415M, down -1.54% YoY (slight top-line contraction). Net income: $30.287M, up +13.96% YoY. EPS: $2.28, up +14.00% YoY. Takeaway: Earnings power is improving despite slightly lower revenue, suggesting margin/royalty economics and cost structure are supporting profits. That’s fundamentally positive, but it doesn’t override the current short-term trading/positioning headwinds.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided, so a Wall Street consensus view cannot be verified from this dataset. Based on the available data only: Pros would center on improving profitability and apparent institutional/hedge fund accumulation; cons would center on bearish options positioning, fading momentum, and short-term downside probability. Politician/congress activity: No recent congress trading data available, and no notable influential-figure trading was provided.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NRP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NRP is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 114.250

Low

Averages

High

Current: 114.250

Low

Averages

High

NRP Should I Buy

NRP Should I Buy

Should You Buy Natural Resource Partners LP (NRP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No data

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