Should I Buy NPK? NPK 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

127.400

1 Day change

1.64%

52 Week Range

127.780

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

NPK is not a good buy right now. The stock is extended/near-term overbought (RSI~70) and trading above R1 with limited upside to the next resistance (R2 ~126.82) while pattern-based odds point to a negative 1-month move (-12.67%). With no Intellectia buy signals today and profitability/margins deteriorating in the latest quarter, the risk/reward for an impatient buyer is unfavorable at the current pre-market price (~125.35).

Technical Analysis

Trend is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and momentum remains positive (MACD histogram 0.189 and expanding). However, RSI_6 at ~70.46 suggests the move is stretched and vulnerable to a pullback. Price (~125.35 pre-market) is above Pivot (121.65) and slightly above R1 (124.85), leaving relatively tight upside to R2 (126.82) versus downside back toward Pivot/S1 (118.45). Pattern analogs suggest modest upside over 1 day/week (+0.67% / +1.8%) but a notably negative 1-month expectation (-12.67%). **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

- Broader technical uptrend (stacked bullish moving averages) with positive MACD momentum.
- Revenue growth in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3 +25.75% YoY).
- Potential event catalyst: next earnings scheduled 2026-02-09 after hours (can move the stock if results surprise).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

and price sitting near resistance (between R1 and R2), increasing pullback risk.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to $115.463M (+25.75% YoY), but profitability weakened: Net Income fell to $5.317M (-34.22% YoY) and EPS to $0.74 (-34.51% YoY). Gross margin declined to 13.54 (down ~26.17% YoY), indicating the growth is coming with margin pressure rather than improving earnings power.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided. From the available 'pros vs cons' view: Pros are strong price momentum/technical trend and revenue growth; cons are contracting margins/earnings and a bearish 1-month pattern signal. Trading activity signals are neutral (hedge funds neutral, insiders neutral). Congress trading: no recent congress trading data available.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NPK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NPK is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 125.350

Low

Averages

High