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NMIH Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy NMI Holdings Inc (NMIH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
37.940
1 Day change
-1.58%
52 Week Range
43.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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NMI Holdings Inc (NMIH) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown positive financial growth and analysts have raised price targets, the lack of strong trading signals, insider selling, and neutral hedge fund sentiment suggest waiting for a more favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating a bearish trend. RSI is neutral at 35.769, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level of 38.599, with resistance at 39.886.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • The company has shown strong YoY financial growth in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased significantly by 509.20% in the last month. No recent news or significant hedge fund activity. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 8.55% YoY to $180.736 million, net income rose by 9.34% YoY to $94.217 million, and EPS grew by 12.15% YoY to 1.2.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Barclays raised the price target to $44 and Keefe Bruyette upgraded the stock to Outperform with a $48 price target, citing positive long-term growth prospects in the mortgage insurance market.

Wall Street analysts forecast NMIH stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NMIH stock price to rise
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 38.550
sliders
Low
43
Averages
45
High
48
Current: 38.550
sliders
Low
43
Averages
45
High
48
Barclays
Equal Weight
maintain
$43 -> $44
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$43 -> $44
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on NMI Holdings to $44 from $43 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm sees additional upside in select consumer finance name in 2026. A "benign' credit environment sets the stage for loan growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays also forecasts a better mortgage origination market in 2026. The firm adjusted price targets as part of its 2026 outlook.
Keefe Bruyette
Bose George
Market Perform
to
Outperform
upgrade
$46 -> $48
2025-12-17
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Bose George
Price Target
$46 -> $48
2025-12-17
upgrade
Market Perform
to
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Bose George upgraded NMI Holdings to Outperform from Market Perform with a price target of $48, up from $46. The firm expects a decline in short rates in 2026, but thinks the long-end will remain fairly range-bound. Heading into 2026, Keefe is "reasonably constructive" on the mortgage insurers given its expectation that the companies will generate double-digit book value growth. It upgrades NMI Holdings as part of its 2026 outlook.
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