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NMFC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy New Mountain Finance Corp (NMFC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
8.030
1 Day change
0.25%
52 Week Range
11.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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New Mountain Finance Corp (NMFC) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The company's financial performance is significantly deteriorating, and analysts have lowered price targets due to unresolved issues. While insider buying is a positive signal, the lack of strong technical indicators, weak financials, and absence of significant catalysts make this stock more suitable for monitoring rather than immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, suggesting a slight bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 55.591, and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 8.208), which may limit further upside in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Insider buying has increased by 337.54% over the last month, indicating confidence from company insiders. The stock has a 70% chance of gaining 4.63% in the next month based on historical patterns.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 was extremely poor, with revenue dropping by 79.19% YoY, net income falling by 197.16% YoY, and EPS declining by 200%. Analysts have lowered price targets due to unresolved issues such as portfolio sale drag and redeployment uncertainty. There is no recent news or significant trading trends from hedge funds.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company's revenue dropped to $17.55 million (-79.19% YoY), net income dropped to -$26.88 million (-197.16% YoY), EPS dropped to -0.25 (-200% YoY), and gross margin dropped to -74.95 (-230.78% YoY). These metrics indicate severe financial underperformance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have recently lowered price targets significantly: Keefe Bruyette to $9, B. Riley to $7.50, and Wells Fargo to $8. All analysts maintain neutral or market perform ratings, citing unresolved issues and lack of near-term solutions.

Wall Street analysts forecast NMFC stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NMFC stock price to rise
0 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 8.010
sliders
Low
9
Averages
9.5
High
10
Current: 8.010
sliders
Low
9
Averages
9.5
High
10
Lucid Capital
Neutral
downgrade
$10 -> $9
AI Analysis
2026-03-09
New
Reason
Lucid Capital
Price Target
$10 -> $9
AI Analysis
2026-03-09
New
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Lucid Capital lowered the firm's price target on New Mountain Finance to $9 from $10 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm views the company's Q4 results as mixed. New Mountain's strategic progress was offset by continued balance sheet pressure and near-term earnings headwinds, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA
Underperform
downgrade
$9
2026-03-09
New
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$9
2026-03-09
New
downgrade
Underperform
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on New Mountain Finance to $7.50 from $9 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. The firm is adjusting forecasts for several business development companies following quarterly reports from the group.
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