Should I Buy NMAX? NMAX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Newsmax Inc (NMAX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

6.110

1 Day change

0.66%

52 Week Range

265.000

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: trend is decisively bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and momentum is still deteriorating (MACD histogram negative and expanding).
Oversold (RSI_6 ~17.4) can produce a short bounce, but price is already below the nearest support (S1 6.419), which makes “catching the bounce” low-quality for an impatient buyer.
Options positioning is call-heavy, but that’s not enough to outweigh the broken supports + weak/flat growth profile and an upcoming earnings catalyst (2026-02-19 AH) that can move the stock sharply.
Net: Avoid buying now; if already holding, risk/reward favors exiting rather than hoping for an oversold rebound.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked down (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling a sustained downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram = -0.0749 (below 0) and negatively expanding → downside momentum is strengthening, not stabilizing.
Overbought/Oversold: RSI_6 = 17.401 (deeply oversold) → bounce is possible, but oversold can persist in strong downtrends.
Levels: Pivot 7.061 (well above current 6.305). Resistance: R1 7.702, R2 8.099. Support: S1 6.419 (already broken), next S2 6.022 (nearest meaningful downside marker).
Pattern-based odds (provided): 70% chance of modest upside (+1.03% next day / +2.21% next week / +4.84% next month), but these are small expected moves versus the current technical damage.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment tilt: Open Interest put-call ratio 0.63 suggests more call OI than put OI (moderately bullish positioning).
Flow today: Option volume put-call ratio 0.03 is extremely call-dominant (calls 587 vs puts 17) → speculative bullish flow.
Activity: Today’s option volume 604 is ~109% of the 30-day average (slightly elevated participation).
Volatility: IV_30d 90.94 vs historical vol 42.11 → options are pricing large moves; this often happens around catalysts.
IV context: IV percentile ~45 and IV rank ~21 → elevated absolute IV, but not extreme relative to its own history.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

can trigger reflex rallies.
and holds.
on 2026-02-19 After Hours can act as a catalyst if results/surprise are favorable.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

before any sustainable rebound.
→ event risk skewed toward volatility without a proven growth re-acceleration.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 45,272,696 (flat YoY per provided data: +0.00% YoY) → no demonstrated growth acceleration.
Profitability: Net income -4,115,406 and EPS -0.03 (still loss-making; also flat YoY per provided data).
Margins: Gross margin 33.73% (reported as flat YoY) → not showing improving operating leverage in the snapshot.
Takeaway: financials do not currently provide a strong fundamental tailwind to override the bearish tape.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst rating/price target change data: not provided in the dataset, so no reliable recent trend in upgrades/downgrades or target revisions can be summarized.
Wall Street-style pros view (based on available data): oversold setup + call-heavy options flow + earnings catalyst could produce a tradable bounce.
Wall Street-style cons view (based on available data): persistent downtrend, broken support, loss-making profile, and no visible growth inflection in the latest quarter increase the chance that bounces fade.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NMAX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NMAX is 20.5 USD with a low forecast of 20 USD and a high forecast of 21 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 6.070

Low

Averages

20.5

High

Current: 6.070

Low

Averages

20.5

High

Noble Capital

Michael Kupinski

Outperform

initiated

$23

AI Analysis

2025-08-21

Reason

Noble Capital

Michael Kupinski

Price Target

$23

AI Analysis

2025-08-21

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Noble Capital analyst Michael Kupinski initiated coverage of Newsmax with an Outperform rating and $23 price target. The conservative media company serves a highly engaged, loyal audience that has enabled the company to scale both advertising and distribution revenues while maintaining low customer acquisition costs, says the analyst, who notes that revenue has grown more than 300% since 2019.

Maxim

NULL -> Buy

initiated

$20

2025-07-24

Reason

Maxim

Price Target

$20

2025-07-24

initiated

NULL -> Buy

Reason

Maxim initiated coverage of Newsmax with a Buy rating and $20 price target.

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NMAX Should I Buy

NMAX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Newsmax Inc (NMAX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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