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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance is generally positive with increased FAD and cash rent collections. However, concerns about declining SHOP margins, unclear management responses on key issues like NHC lease renewal, Medicaid issues, and transition noise create uncertainties. The optimistic guidance and strategic investments are balanced by these risks. Given the market cap, a neutral stock price movement within -2% to 2% is likely over the next two weeks as the market digests both positive results and potential uncertainties.
Net Income per Diluted Common Share $0.74, up 4.2% from the prior year.
NAREIT FFO per Diluted Common Share $1.14, increased 3.6% compared to the prior year period.
Normalized FFO per Diluted Common Share $1.15, increased 2.7% compared to the prior year period.
FAD $56 million, increased 9.9% compared to the prior year period.
Cash Rent Collections Increased by $2.6 million, driven by $900,000 from acquisitions, $1.2 million from NHC percentage revenue rents, $200,000 from transition properties, and $700,000 from annual rent increases, offset by $300,000 in lower deferred rent repayments.
SHOP NOI Increased 4.9% year-over-year to $3.1 million.
Resident Fees Increased by 5.2% year-over-year, driven by occupancy improvement of 390 basis points to 89.2%.
SHOP Margin Declined 10 basis points to 22.1% compared to the prior year period.
Total Investments Year-to-Date $174.9 million at an average initial yield of 8.2%, which is approximately $118 million more than the first six months of last year.
Cash on Balance Sheet $135 million at the end of the quarter.
Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA Ratio 4.1x, well within the stated 4x to 5x leverage policy.
Dividend per Share $0.90 per share for shareholders of record June 30, 2025.
Investments: Investments of $174.9 million announced so far in 2025, with an active pipeline of approximately $264 million.
SHOP Portfolio Growth: Transitioning a portfolio of six properties to a new RIDEA partnership, aiming for long-term value creation.
Market Positioning: The company is focused on growing its SHOP portfolio and has a competitive cost of capital, leading to increased deal flow.
Cash Rent Collections: Cash rent collections exceeded expectations due to better-than-expected deferral payments and NHC percentage rent.
NOI Growth: Maintaining an outlook for 12% to 15% NOI growth for the year.
Strategic Shift: Not pursuing growth for growth’s sake; focusing on quality acquisitions and portfolio optimization.
Transaction Costs: Recorded a $1.2 million charge in transaction costs related to a large SHOP portfolio that was ultimately not pursued, indicating potential risks in deal selection and resource allocation.
Medicaid Cuts: Concerns about potential Medicaid cuts impacting revenue, although the majority of revenue is in states that did not expand Medicaid under the ACA, which may mitigate risks.
Competitive Pressures: The current market shows a limited buyer pool while the number of sellers is increasing, indicating competitive pressures in the acquisition landscape.
Debt Management: Monitoring long-term bond rates and planning to tap the public bond market in 2025 to improve liquidity, highlighting risks associated with debt management and refinancing.
Seasonality in Operations: First quarter results experienced typical seasonality, which may affect cash flow and operational performance during certain periods.
Portfolio Transition Risks: Transitioning properties to a new RIDEA partnership involves risks related to execution and operational performance during the conversion process.
Investments: NHI has announced investments of $174.9 million so far in 2025, with an active pipeline of approximately $264 million.
SHOP Portfolio Growth: NHI is focused on growing its SHOP portfolio through internal conversions and has made progress on transitioning a portfolio of six properties to a new RIDEA partnership.
Acquisition Strategy: NHI is keen on pursuing acquisitions and has acquired approximately $131 million in real estate year-to-date.
Transaction Costs: NHI recorded a $1.2 million charge in transaction costs related to a large SHOP portfolio that was ultimately not pursued.
NOI Growth: NHI is maintaining its outlook for 12% to 15% NOI growth this year.
Normalized FFO Guidance: NHI raised its normalized FFO guidance midpoint by $0.08 per share to $4.71, representing year-over-year growth of 6.1%.
FAD Guidance: NHI's guidance for FAD at the midpoint is $225.1 million, up from $221.7 million, representing a 10.2% increase over 2024.
Dividend Declaration: NHI declared a $0.90 per share dividend for shareholders of record June 30, 2025, payable on August 1, 2025.
Future Investments: NHI's updated guidance includes $155 million in additional new unidentified investments at an average yield of 8.2%.
Overall Financial Outlook: NHI's updated full year guidance for NAREIT FFO and normalized FFO per diluted common share at the midpoints is $4.67 and $4.71, representing increases of 2.6% and 6.1% respectively over 2024.
Dividend per share: $0.90 per share for shareholders of record June 30, 2025, payable on August 1, 2025.
Total investments year-to-date: $174.9 million at an average initial yield of 8.2%.
Additional unidentified investments guidance: $155 million in additional new unidentified investments at an average yield of 8.2%.
NAREIT FFO guidance: $4.67 per diluted common share, a 2.6% increase over 2024.
Normalized FFO guidance: $4.71 per diluted common share, a 6.1% increase over 2024.
FAD guidance: $225.1 million, a 10.2% increase over 2024.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with raised guidance, dividend increase, and growth in the SHOP portfolio. The Q&A reveals proactive measures to address SHOP issues and a robust investment pipeline. Despite some legal uncertainties with NHC and vague management responses, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strategic growth plans, improved NOI, and strong liquidity. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price movement prediction.
The earnings call summary reflects strong financial health with increased revenues, NOI growth, and margin expansion. Management addressed concerns in the Q&A, highlighting a robust investment pipeline and strategic focus on SHOP. Despite minor delays and occupancy issues, optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives like new hires and partnerships indicate positive momentum. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, aligning with a positive outlook.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance is generally positive with increased FAD and cash rent collections. However, concerns about declining SHOP margins, unclear management responses on key issues like NHC lease renewal, Medicaid issues, and transition noise create uncertainties. The optimistic guidance and strategic investments are balanced by these risks. Given the market cap, a neutral stock price movement within -2% to 2% is likely over the next two weeks as the market digests both positive results and potential uncertainties.
The earnings call reflects positive financial metrics, with year-over-year growth in FFO, net income, and occupancy rates. The company announced a dividend increase and a robust investment pipeline. Despite concerns about seasonality and Medicaid issues, the management's guidance for NOI and FFO growth is optimistic. The Q&A session revealed some uncertainties, but overall, the strategic initiatives and financial health suggest a positive outlook. Given the market cap, the stock price is expected to rise by 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
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