NGVC Valuation

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc

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39.780

-0.76(-1.875%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

NGVC Relative Valuation

NGVC's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, NGVC is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.75 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 15.59. The fair price of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) is between +Inf to +Inf according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 39.78 USD , Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc is Undervalued By Fair.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

+Inf-+Inf

Current Price：39.78

Fair

Undervalued

0.00

Trailing

Forward

17.15

EV/EBITDA

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) has a current EV/EBITDA of 17.15. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.95, Undervalued between -1.95 and 3.92, Fairly Valued between 15.67 and 3.92, Overvalued between 15.67 and 21.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.54. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 17.15 falls within the Overvalued range.

35.20

EV/EBIT

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) has a current EV/EBIT of 35.20. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 24.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -27.34, Undervalued between -27.34 and -1.33, Fairly Valued between 50.70 and -1.33, Overvalued between 50.70 and 76.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 76.71. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 35.20 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.75

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) has a current PS of 0.75. The 5-year average PS is 0.31. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.20, Undervalued between -0.20 and 0.05, Fairly Valued between 0.56 and 0.05, Overvalued between 0.56 and 0.81, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.81. The current Forward PS of 0.75 falls within the Overvalued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 1.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.98, Undervalued between -3.98 and -1.47, Fairly Valued between 3.57 and -1.47, Overvalued between 3.57 and 6.08, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.08. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. (NGVC) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 6.45. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.43, Undervalued between -9.43 and -1.49, Fairly Valued between 14.39 and -1.49, Overvalued between 14.39 and 22.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 22.33. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 4.51. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.95 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 52.61% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.66, the current P/B ratio is about 69.81% higher. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 3.71%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 5.31%, the current FCF yield is approximately -30.17% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.97% , the current FCF yield is about -46.80% lower.

4.51

P/B

Median3y

2.95

Median5y

2.66

3.71

FCF Yield

Median3y

5.31

Median5y

6.97

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for NGVC's competitors is 0.34, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Corp (NGVC) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.75, which is 119.33% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 6.35%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

NGVC.N

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc

Village Super Market Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of NGVC increased by 50.00% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 16.90 to 21.16.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 18.46%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of NGVC in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

6.35%

309.08M → 328.71M

Revenue Growth

18.46%

2.98 → 3.53

Margin Expansion

25.19%

16.90 → 21.16

P/E Change

50.00%