NGS Valuation

Natural Gas Services Group Inc

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25.140

+0.72(2.948%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

NGS Relative Valuation

NGS's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, NGS is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Natural Gas Services Group Inc (NGS) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.64 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 98.18. The fair price of Natural Gas Services Group Inc (NGS) is between 54.85 to 62.48 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 24.42 USD , Natural Gas Services Group Inc is Undervalued By 55.48%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

54.85-62.48

Current Price：24.42

55.48%

Undervalued

16.01

Trailing

Forward

5.79

EV/EBITDA

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) has a current EV/EBITDA of 5.79. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.32, Undervalued between 3.32 and 4.22, Fairly Valued between 6.02 and 4.22, Overvalued between 6.02 and 6.92, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.92. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 5.79 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.94

EV/EBIT

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.94. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 122.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1046.09, Undervalued between -1046.09 and -461.59, Fairly Valued between 707.40 and -461.59, Overvalued between 707.40 and 1291.90, and Strongly Overvalued above 1291.90. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.94 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.64

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) has a current PS of 1.64. The 5-year average PS is 1.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.01, Undervalued between 1.01 and 1.33, Fairly Valued between 1.97 and 1.33, Overvalued between 1.97 and 2.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.29. The current Forward PS of 1.64 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

4.82

P/OCF

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) has a current P/OCF of 4.82. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.78. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.04, Undervalued between 3.04 and 3.91, Fairly Valued between 5.65 and 3.91, Overvalued between 5.65 and 6.52, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.52. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.82 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-5.64

P/FCF

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) has a current P/FCF of -5.64. The 5-year average P/FCF is -1.86. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -23.28, Undervalued between -23.28 and -12.57, Fairly Valued between 8.85 and -12.57, Overvalued between 8.85 and 19.56, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.56. The current Forward P/FCF of -5.64 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Natural Gas Services Group Inc (NGS) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.87 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 32.54% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.74, the current P/B ratio is about 54.77% higher. Natural Gas Services Group Inc (NGS) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -6.90%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -33.17%, the current FCF yield is approximately -79.19% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -17.83% , the current FCF yield is about -61.30% lower.

1.15

P/B

Median3y

0.87

Median5y

0.74

-6.90

FCF Yield

Median3y

-33.17

Median5y

-17.83

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for NGS's competitors is 11.39, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Natural Gas Services Group Inc Corp (NGS) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.64, which is -85.61% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 7.51%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

NGS.N

Natural Gas Services Group Inc

Mayville Engineering Company Inc

Perma-Pipe International Holdings Inc

KULR Technology Group Inc

7.52

63.36%

215.82M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of NGS increased by 11.35% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 11.04 to 12.54.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 7.51%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of NGS in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

7.51%

38.49M → 41.38M

Revenue Growth

13.59%

11.04 → 12.54

Margin Expansion

-9.75%

19.04 → 17.19

P/E Change

11.35%