Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Price action is decisively risk-off today (-8%): suggests current sellers are in control and buyers are not defending prior support.
- Near-term pattern model is bearish: estimated 70% chance of additional declines (next day/week/month projections negative).
- Elevated IV implies the market expects outsized movement; this often coincides with uncertainty and can pressure the stock around catalysts/events.
- Prior Street concern to monitor: CFO transition flagged as a near-term confidence hit (from earlier commentary), even if not newly reported today.
