Should I Buy NAUT? NAUT 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Nautilus Biotechnology Inc (NAUT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

1.950

1 Day change

0.52%

52 Week Range

2.540

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

NAUT is not a good buy right now for an impatient trader. The near-term momentum is weakening (MACD histogram negative and expanding lower) and the pre-market price (~1.98) is still below the key pivot (2.039), implying the stock hasn’t reclaimed a clean upside trigger. Options positioning is extremely call-heavy (bullish sentiment), but the underlying fundamentals remain cash-burn heavy with no revenue, making the setup more speculative than “high-confidence now.” A better buy would be after a convincing push back above ~2.04 and holding it; at current levels, the risk/reward is not attractive for immediate entry.

Technical Analysis

Price/Levels: Pre-market ~1.98 vs Pivot 2.039 (below pivot = cautious). Support S1 1.829 then S2 1.699; Resistance R1 2.249 then R2 2.379. Trend: Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting the bigger-picture trend is constructive. Momentum: MACD histogram -0.00609 (below zero and negatively expanding) signals weakening short-term momentum. RSI_6 = 40.47 (neutral-to-soft), not oversold enough to signal a high-probability bounce. Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern projection shows modest upside probabilities (about +1.43% next day, +2.13% next week), but not strong enough to override the weakening MACD. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment/Positioning: Extremely bullish call-skew (OI puts/calls ~0.03; volume puts/calls ~0.02). Calls dominate (call OI 4850 vs put OI 165; call volume 291 vs put volume 5). Activity: Today’s option volume is elevated vs the 30-day average (156.61%), suggesting increased speculative interest. Volatility: Implied vol (30d) 124.41 vs historical vol 176.05; IV percentile 22 / IV rank 17.41 indicates IV is relatively low compared with its own history—often seen when the market isn’t pricing an immediate catalyst aggressively, despite the call-heavy positioning.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Hedge funds are buying aggressively quarter-over-quarter (reported +499,900% increase in buying amount, likely off a small base but still supportive).
Bullish longer-term technical structure (stacked moving averages).
Next earnings scheduled 2026-02-25 (pre-market) can act as an event catalyst if guidance/updates impress.
Options market positioning is strongly call-leaning, reflecting bullish trader sentiment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Near-term momentum is deteriorating (MACD negative and worsening) while price remains below the pivot (~2.04).
Fundamentals show ongoing losses with no revenue (speculative profile).
High volatility profile (very elevated HV/IV) can produce sharp adverse moves, especially into/around earnings.
No supportive fresh news flow in the last week to justify immediate upside follow-through.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue: 0 (0.00% YoY) — no meaningful top-line progress. Net income: -$13.574M (worse YoY by -17.46%) — losses widened. EPS: -0.11 (worse YoY by -15.38%). Overall: Financial trend remains negative (continued and worsening losses) with no revenue traction yet, so price action is largely sentiment/event-driven rather than fundamentals-driven.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so the recent Wall Street trend cannot be confirmed from the dataset. Pros (typical bull case) would center on platform optionality and event-driven upside into milestones/earnings; cons would focus on lack of revenue and ongoing cash burn. With the available data, the cons dominate for an immediate buy decision.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NAUT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NAUT is 2.5 USD with a low forecast of 2.5 USD and a high forecast of 2.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 1.940

Low

2.5

Averages

2.5

High

2.5