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The earnings call reveals strong performance with raised revenue and EBITDA guidance, new product launches, and strategic partnerships. Despite some operational challenges, management's optimistic outlook, particularly in prenatal and cancer diagnostics, suggests potential growth. The Q&A highlights market expansion and improved customer workflows, reinforcing positive sentiment. However, unclear responses on ASP assumptions and reimbursement timelines introduce some uncertainty, slightly tempering the overall positive outlook.
Revenue $206 million, which decreased 4% year-over-year. Excluding headwinds like UnitedHealthcare's decision on GeneSight and the divested European EndoPredict business, the business was stable compared to Q3 2024. Factoring in these headwinds and prior period changes, year-over-year growth was 5%.
Testing Volume MyRisk in oncology grew 16% year-over-year, and MyRisk for unaffected grew 11% year-over-year. GeneSight volume grew 8% year-over-year, and Prolaris test volume grew modestly year-over-year. Legacy prenatal products, Prequel and Foresight, were flat year-over-year but showed improvement from Q2.
Adjusted Gross Margin 70.1% in the third quarter, reflecting strong operational efficiencies and favorable test mix.
Adjusted EBITDA $10.3 million, reflecting strong operational leverage and cost management.
Oncology Revenue $81.8 million, a decline of 1% year-over-year. MyRisk test volume grew 16% in the affected market and 11% in the unaffected market.
Women's Health Revenue $85.2 million, an increase of 3% year-over-year. Hereditary cancer testing revenue grew 4%, and volume grew 11% year-over-year.
Mental Health Revenue (GeneSight) $38.7 million, with volume growth of 8% year-over-year. Revenue was impacted by UnitedHealthcare's coverage policy change in January 2025.
Consolidated Financial Results Revenue of $205.7 million, a decline of 4% year-over-year. Test volumes increased 3%, but average revenue per test decreased 7% due to factors like payer mix shifts and UnitedHealthcare's policy change.
MyRisk test: Continued strong volume growth in oncology at 16% year-over-year and 11% growth for unaffected markets. Updated MyRisk test to launch in November 2025, expected to support growth in 2026 and beyond.
GeneSight test: Volume grew 8% year-over-year, with focus on medium and higher volume accounts. Revenue impacted by UnitedHealthcare's policy change, but positive coverage policies secured in 9 states.
Prolaris test: Stable demand with modest year-over-year growth. AI-enabled Prolaris test to launch in the first half of 2026.
FirstGene prenatal screen: Early access commenced in June 2025, with commercial launch expected in 2026. Potential to expand the prenatal testing market.
Precise MRD test: Ultrasensitive tumor-informed test to launch for clinical use in the first half of 2026, starting with Stage II and III breast cancer.
Cancer care continuum: Focus on expanding hereditary cancer tests and introducing new cancer screening, diagnostic, and monitoring tests. Collaboration with SOPHiA GENETICS for biomarker validation and CDx development services.
Prenatal health: Growth expected through new products like FirstGene and improved commercial execution.
Mental health: Revenue growth for GeneSight test by targeting high-value accounts and leveraging state biomarker laws.
Gross margin: Strong adjusted gross margin of 70.1% in Q3 2025, reflecting operational efficiencies.
Adjusted EBITDA: Reported $10.3 million in Q3 2025, demonstrating profitability.
Organizational redesign: Streamlined structure to reduce management layers, reallocate resources to cancer care continuum, and improve customer experience.
Strategic pillars: Focus on cancer care continuum, prenatal health, and mental health for accelerated growth. Emphasis on partnerships, team expertise, and execution excellence.
Commercial investments: $35 million multiyear program to expand commercial capabilities, enhance tools, and fund strategic R&D programs.
Partnerships: Collaboration with SOPHiA GENETICS and PATHOMIQ to enhance product offerings and market reach.
Revenue Decline: The company reported a 4% year-over-year decline in revenue for Q3 2025, attributed to factors such as UnitedHealthcare's policy change on GeneSight, the divestiture of the European EndoPredict business, and a prior period contribution that did not repeat.
UnitedHealthcare Policy Change: The policy change by UnitedHealthcare regarding GeneSight coverage has negatively impacted revenue, with a $7 million net impact in Q3 2024 and ongoing challenges in 2025.
Payer Mix Shifts: Modest shifts in payer mix within the hereditary cancer portfolio had a larger-than-expected negative impact on average revenue per test in Q3 2025.
Operational Efficiency Challenges: The company is undergoing organizational redesign and efficiency actions, including reducing management layers and reallocating resources, which may pose risks during the transition period.
Regulatory and Reimbursement Risks: The company faces uncertainties in securing reimbursement for its tests, including GeneSight, which is impacted by state biomarker laws and payer policies.
Market Competition: The company operates in a highly competitive market, particularly in hereditary cancer testing and mental health diagnostics, which could impact market share and pricing.
Economic and Market Conditions: Economic uncertainties and market conditions could affect customer demand and payer reimbursement rates, impacting overall revenue.
Supply Chain and Operational Risks: Potential disruptions in supply chain or operational inefficiencies could impact the timely delivery of tests and services.
Revenue Growth: The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 financial guidance, projecting revenue in the range of $818 million to $828 million. This includes a gross margin range of 69.5% to 70% and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $27 million to $33 million.
Cancer Care Continuum Strategy: The company plans to launch an updated MyRisk test in November 2025, which is expected to drive strong growth in 2026 and beyond. Additionally, the company is on track to launch its Precise MRD test for clinical use in the first half of 2026, targeting Stage II and Stage III breast cancer in the neoadjuvant setting. A new AI-enabled Prolaris prostate cancer test is also set for launch in the first half of 2026.
Strategic Partnerships: The company has entered into a collaboration with SOPHiA GENETICS to provide biomarker validation and CDx development services. Additional strategic partnerships are expected to be announced in the coming months.
Prenatal Testing: The FirstGene multiple prenatal screening test is expected to launch commercially in 2026, with the potential to expand the prenatal testing market.
Mental Health Testing: The company aims to grow revenue for its GeneSight test by focusing on high-value accounts, leveraging state biomarker laws, and optimizing revenue cycle workflows. The company is also working with UnitedHealthcare to address coverage policy changes.
Operational Efficiency: The company is implementing an organizational redesign to improve customer experience, gain market share, and reduce operating expenses as a percentage of revenue. This includes reallocating headcount and funding to support growth in the cancer care continuum.
Commercial Investments: A multiyear program to invest over $35 million in strengthening commercial capabilities, focusing on the cancer care continuum, is planned. This includes expanding the commercial team, enhancing commercial tools, and increasing funding for strategic R&D programs.
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The earnings call reveals strong performance with raised revenue and EBITDA guidance, new product launches, and strategic partnerships. Despite some operational challenges, management's optimistic outlook, particularly in prenatal and cancer diagnostics, suggests potential growth. The Q&A highlights market expansion and improved customer workflows, reinforcing positive sentiment. However, unclear responses on ASP assumptions and reimbursement timelines introduce some uncertainty, slightly tempering the overall positive outlook.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows improvement, with increased adjusted gross margin and EBITDA. However, the lowered revenue guidance and unresolved issues like SneakPeek and unclear management responses create uncertainties. The strategic focus on oncology and partnerships is promising but lacks immediate impact. Overall, the sentiment is neutral with potential for future growth, but current uncertainties and guidance adjustments balance out the positives.
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