Should You Buy Mueller Water Products Inc (MWA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Buy now (pre-market ~26.47) for a momentum/quality-growth entry. The trend is bullish (stacked moving averages) and fundamentals just printed a very strong FY2025 Q4. While RSI is hot and price is near first resistance (~27.03), the options tape is positioned more bullish than bearish and the pullback risk is offset by a still-uptrend structure. With no Intellectia buy signal today, this is not a “max-conviction” trigger-based entry, but it is still a good buy right now for an impatient investor who doesn’t want to wait for a perfect dip.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bullish: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 confirms an established uptrend. MACD histogram is positive (0.109) but ‘positively contracting,’ implying upside momentum is still present but slowing—often seen near short-term pauses. RSI(6) ~70.06 is elevated (near overbought), suggesting limited immediate upside without consolidation. Key levels: Pivot 26.553 is the near-term decision point; holding above it supports continuation. Resistance: R1 27.034 then R2 27.331 (expect supply here). Support: S1 26.071 then S2 25.774 (break below pivot raises odds of a quick retest of S1). Overall: bullish trend, slightly stretched short-term.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent Street stance is cautious/neutral with lowered targets. Goldman Sachs (2025-11-07) kept Neutral and cut PT to $26 (from $29), noting Q4 beat but flagging tariff costs and weaker demand/volume as headwinds to EBITDA growth. Baird (2025-11-10) kept Neutral and cut PT to $28 (from $30), describing a prudent framework post-results. Wall Street pros: strong execution, margin expansion, and solid quarter. Cons: demand softness/volumes and cost pressures (tariffs), limiting upside multiple expansion near-term. Trading/flow checks: Hedge funds neutral, insiders neutral, and no recent Congress trading data in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast MWA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MWA is 27.2 USD with a low forecast of 25 USD and a high forecast of 30 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast MWA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MWA is 27.2 USD with a low forecast of 25 USD and a high forecast of 30 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 26.710
Current: 26.710
