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MTSI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
391.410
1 Day change
6.62%
52 Week Range
418.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/12
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

MTSI is not a clear buy right now for a beginner long-term investor, despite strong analyst enthusiasm and positive AI/data-center narrative. The stock is trading near resistance in pre-market, technical momentum is mixed, options sentiment is bullish but not extreme, and there is no recent catalyst or financial update to confirm immediate upside. Given the lack of a strong Intellectia buy signal and no SwingMax entry today, the best direct call is hold rather than buy.

Technical Analysis

Current pre-market price is 378.5, up 1.00%. The trend is constructive but not decisive: MACD histogram is -6.004 and still below zero, though it is negatively contracting, which suggests downside momentum is fading. RSI_6 is 54.929, neutral, and moving averages are converging, indicating consolidation rather than a strong breakout. Price is above the pivot at 365.118 and below R1 at 388.862, so the stock is sitting in the upper part of its near-term range but has not broken resistance cleanly. The short-term pattern data implies modest near-term upside, but the one-month expectation is negative.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is bullish because both the open interest put-call ratio and volume put-call ratio are below 1, meaning call activity dominates. Call open interest is 9,818 versus put open interest of 5,091. However, implied volatility is elevated at 77.97 with IV percentile at 94.05, so options are pricing in strong expected movement. That supports optimism, but it also suggests the market already expects a lot.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
1
Buy
13

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, with multiple target raises and several Outperform/Buy ratings. The biggest bullish theme is continued AI data-center demand, improving inference-related demand, and sustained multi-year growth in communications technology. Northland raised its target to $450 and cited stronger AI optical demand and a durable cycle. Jefferies also sees upside from Data Center, Industrial & Defense, and LEO satellite deployments. Congress trading shows only one trade and it was a sale, so there is no positive political accumulation signal. No negative news was reported in the last week, which removes an immediate catalyst risk.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • There is no recent news catalyst to drive a fresh move. The stock is close to resistance and technical momentum is not yet confirmed. The option market is active, but elevated IV means expectations are already rich. Congress trading data shows one sale and zero purchases, which is a mild cautionary sign. The stock-pattern forecast also points to a possible decline over the next month. Intellectia signals are absent today, so there is no proprietary strong-buy trigger.

Financial Performance

No usable latest-quarter financial snapshot was provided because the financial data section returned an error. As a result, I cannot confirm recent revenue or earnings growth from the supplied dataset. Based on analyst commentary, the latest quarter appears to have been solid with better guidance and improving data-center demand, but the exact latest-quarter season and metrics are unavailable here.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst trend is clearly bullish overall. Multiple firms raised price targets recently: Northland to $450, Evercore ISI to $427, Barclays to $400, Truist to $375, Jefferies to $450, and others also lifted targets. Ratings are mostly Outperform, Buy, or Overweight, with only a few Neutral views remaining. Wall Street pros are constructive on the long-term AI and data-center opportunity, with the main upside case centered on accelerating optical demand, improved execution, and a broader multi-year growth cycle.

Wall Street analysts forecast MTSI stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MTSI stock price to fall
9 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 367.110
sliders
Low
165
Averages
193.5
High
220
Current: 367.110
sliders
Low
165
Averages
193.5
High
220
Northland
NULL
to
Outperform
upgrade
$375 -> $450
AI Analysis
2026-06-03
Reason
Northland
Price Target
$375 -> $450
AI Analysis
2026-06-03
upgrade
NULL
to
Outperform
Reason
Northland raised the firm's price target on Macom (MTSI) to $450 from $375 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Yesterday's comments from Nvidia's (NVDA) CEO inspired strength in Marvell (MRVL), which along with continued strong AI Data Center results from HPE (HPE) and capex funding for Alphabet (GOOGL) "bode well for the space," says the analyst, who raised price targets on several communications technology names with further indications of both short term acceleration in AI optical demand and a sustainable multi year cycle from here.
Evercore ISI
Mark Lipacis
Outperform
maintain
$275 -> $427
2026-05-19
Reason
Evercore ISI
Mark Lipacis
Price Target
$275 -> $427
2026-05-19
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Mark Lipacis raised the firm's price target on Macom to $427 from $275 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. After a round of Q1 AI channel checks, the firm said the main themes it heard included that AI workloads are shifting from a training-led regime toward an inference-led regime by end of 2026 and that a shift is increasing focus on cost-per-token, ROI and TCO, which is accelerating hyperscaler interest in homegrown ASICs and alternative accelerators.
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