Should I Buy Microsoft Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MSFT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
MSFT stock price ended at $391.85 on Friday, after rising 1.17%
The Microsoft Corp stock price increased by 1.17% on the last trading day (Friday Apr 2025), rising from 387 to 391.85. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.97% , ranging from a day low of $384.6 to a day high of 392.16. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 2.75% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -3.26M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 18.97M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 7.38B.
MSFT Technical Signals
MSFT(Microsoft Corp Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-21. The total price change during this trend is +9.11%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of MSFT over the last 5 trading days is 7.67B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a outlook in the mid-term.
MSFT Moving Average Analysis
Microsoft Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, April 28, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $400.22, and $415.12. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $352.05, and $337.16. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MSFT Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Microsoft Corp(MSFT) as of is %, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from to . The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
10.5
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
391.85
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
116.36
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-5.75
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-2.15
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
91.9
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-5.62
Bearish
MSFT Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Microsoft Corp(MSFT), our algorithm predicts MSFT's 1-month price at $0, with an 0%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 0%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) stock, as of Invalid Date , forecasts a % change over the next month, based on its high correlation with stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is %. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MSFT
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
No Data
MSFT Seasonality Analysis
Based on MSFT's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in April is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MSFT. In contrast,offers the highest probability of positive returns at63.64%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while February has the lowest probability (45.45%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) stock?
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