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MPWR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
1490.860
1 Day change
1.53%
52 Week Range
1492.750
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) shows strong long-term potential due to its AI-levered growth and positive analyst sentiment. However, the stock appears overbought in the short term based on technical indicators like RSI, and its financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a significant drop in net income and EPS. Given the user's beginner level and preference for long-term investment, it is advisable to hold off on buying at the current elevated price levels and wait for a better entry point.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a bullish trend with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, and the MACD histogram is positive at 27.677. However, the RSI_6 is at 84.74, indicating overbought conditions. Key resistance levels are R1: 1385.718 and R2: 1464.365, while support levels are S1: 1131.115 and S2: 1052.468.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 145.95% rise in buying activity last quarter.

  • Analysts have consistently raised price targets, with the latest targets reaching $1,500, citing strong AI-driven growth and technological innovation.

  • Strong Q4 2025 revenue growth of 20.83% YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a sharp decline in net income (-86.00% YoY) and EPS (-86.20% YoY).

  • The stock is overbought based on RSI, suggesting limited short-term upside.

  • No recent news or congress trading data to provide additional support for a buy decision.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 20.83% YoY to $751.16M, but net income dropped significantly by -86.00% YoY to $175.69M. EPS also declined by -86.20% YoY to $3.57, and gross margin slightly decreased to 55.15%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are highly bullish, with multiple firms raising price targets to $1,500 and maintaining Buy or Overweight ratings. Analysts highlight strong AI-driven growth and solid Q4 results as key drivers for long-term potential.

Wall Street analysts forecast MPWR stock price to fall
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MPWR stock price to fall
9 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1468.350
sliders
Low
950
Averages
1200
High
1375
Current: 1468.350
sliders
Low
950
Averages
1200
High
1375
Stifel
Buy
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
Reason
Stifel
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Stifel raised the firm's price target on Monolithic Power to $1,500 from $1,300 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm continues to believe volatility in AI-levered names presents buying opportunities for "long-term investors focused on picking clear technological innovators," the analyst tells investors in a preview for the analog, connectivity and processors semi group. Broadly speaking, premium valuations for AI-levered names are justified given the clear secular growth in the segment, the analyst added.
Citi
Buy
upgrade
2026-02-09
Reason
Citi
Price Target
2026-02-09
upgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Monolithic Power to $1,350 from $1,250 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
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