Should I Buy MPU? MPU 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Mega Matrix Inc (MPU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

0.610

1 Day change

-12.94%

52 Week Range

4.440

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

MPU is not a good buy right now. Despite being extremely oversold (RSI-6 ~17.7) and near support, the trend is firmly bearish (SMA200 > SMA20 > SMA5 and MACD histogram negative and expanding). With no news catalysts, no supportive proprietary buy signals, and weakening top-line/margins in the latest quarter, the setup is higher-risk for an impatient buyer looking to enter immediately. Best action: avoid buying; if already holding, exit/trim rather than trying to catch a falling knife.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: Strong downtrend with bearish moving-average stack (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.0132, below zero and negatively expanding, signaling accelerating downside momentum. Oscillators: RSI_6 at 17.661 indicates deeply oversold conditions (bounce possible), but oversold can persist in a downtrend. Levels: Pivot 0.801; resistance R1 0.948 / R2 1.038. Support S1 0.653 and S2 0.563. Pre-market price ~0.6425 is slightly below S1 (0.653), implying support has been breached and the next downside reference is S2 (0.563). Pattern-based forecast: only modest expected upside probabilities (about +1.01% next day / +1.95% next week / +1.77% next month), which is not compelling versus the prevailing downtrend. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

Extremely oversold RSI increases the chance of a short-term reflex bounce. Net loss and EPS improved YoY in the latest quarter (loss narrowing), which can sometimes support stabilization if the market begins to look past current weakness. No notable insider selling trend reported recently (insiders neutral).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Trend is decisively bearish (bearish MAs + weakening MACD) and price is trading below the first key support (S1). Latest quarter shows significant revenue contraction (-40.93% YoY) and lower gross margin (47.71%, down -18.44% YoY), suggesting weakening business momentum. No news in the last week (no near-term catalyst). Hedge funds and insiders show neutral positioning (no supportive accumulation signal). Broad market tone is risk-off (S&P 500 -0.8% pre-market).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue fell to 6.11M (-40.93% YoY), indicating sharp top-line contraction. Net income improved YoY to -10.84M (still a loss), and EPS improved to -0.21 (still negative), showing loss narrowing but not profitability. Gross margin dropped to 47.71% (-18.44% YoY), a negative sign for operating leverage and quality of earnings.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating / price target update data provided in the dataset, so a clear Wall Street consensus view cannot be determined from the given information. Based on the available fundamentals and technicals, the current balance of pros/cons skews negative (weak revenue/margin trends and strong bearish technical structure outweigh the oversold bounce potential). Congress trading: no recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential figure transactions indicated.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MPU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MPU is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold