Should You Buy monday.com Ltd (MNDY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
MNDY is NOT a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. The stock is in a clear bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, MACD histogram negatively expanding) and is trading below the first support zone (pre-market ~$115.57 vs S1 ~$117.48), with the next downside area near S2 ~$112.23. While RSI is extremely oversold (RSI_6 ~15.5) and could spark a bounce, the setup is still momentum-negative and earnings (2026-02-09 pre-market) plus cautious FY26 guidance expectations create an unfavorable near-term risk/reward for an immediate entry.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating sustained downside trend. Momentum: MACD histogram is -1.018 and negatively expanding, signaling bearish momentum is strengthening rather than stabilizing. Mean-reversion signal: RSI_6 at 15.52 is deeply oversold, which increases the odds of a short-term reflex bounce, but oversold can persist in downtrends. Levels: Pivot 125.976 is well above current price, so bulls would need a sizable reclaim to change the tone. Immediate levels: price (~115.57) is below S1 (117.477) and near S2 (112.226). A break below ~112 increases risk of further leg down; a rebound that reclaims ~117.5 would be the first sign of stabilization, with ~126 as the next key hurdle. Pattern-based odds provided: 40% chance of +1.16% next day, but slightly negative bias over the next week (-0.64%) and flat over the month (-0.02%), consistent with a choppy-to-weak near-term profile.
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