Should I Buy MLI? MLI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

137.380

1 Day change

2.13%

52 Week Range

137.640

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. MLI is in a strong uptrend, but it’s extended/overbought (RSI-6 ~86) and trading near/above key resistance (R1 136.66; pre-market ~137.29, with R2 ~138.67). With no proprietary buy signals today and short-term mean-reversion risk elevated, the better risk/reward is to wait for a pullback toward ~133.4 (pivot) or ~130.2 (S1). If you must act immediately, position sizing should be small because odds favor near-term cooling rather than a clean breakout continuation.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) confirms a strong intermediate-to-long uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram +0.417 and expanding supports trend continuation, but RSI_6 at ~86 is a clear overbought/extension signal (higher pullback risk). Levels: Pivot 133.405; Resistance R1 136.66 (already reclaimed pre-market), next R2 138.671; Supports S1 130.151 and S2 128.14. Pre-market ~137.29 puts price in a resistance band (136.66–138.67) where breakouts can fail. Quant pattern read: Similar-pattern model suggests ~+0.6% next day, ~flat next week, and ~-1.75% over the next month—consistent with near-term churn/pullback risk after an extended run. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Put/call ratios are very low (OI 0.35; volume 0.14), indicating bullish positioning and call-heavy flow. Volatility: IV(30d) ~30.2 vs historical vol ~21.16 implies options are pricing richer-than-realized movement; IV percentile ~37 and IV rank ~5.57 suggest IV isn’t extreme versus its own history. Activity: Today’s volume (~106) is ~82% of the 30-day average (not a spike), while open interest (~3221) is ~114% of the 30-day average (healthy participation). Overall: bullish bias, but not a “panic bid” in options.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Strong underlying trend (bullish MAs + positive, expanding MACD).
Hedge funds are buying: reported buying amount up ~153.8% over last quarter.
Strong last reported quarter (2025/Q
with accelerating profitability (EPS +27% YoY).
Next earnings on 2026-02-10 (pre-market) can act as a catalyst if guidance surprises positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Overbought/extended technical condition (RSI-6 ~
increases immediate pullback risk.
Price is currently in a key resistance zone (between R1 and R2), where failed breakouts often occur.
No recent news catalysts; momentum may fade without fresh drivers.
Broader tape is risk-off pre-market (S&P 500 -0.64%), which can pressure cyclical/industrial names short term.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue $1.078B (+8.02% YoY). Net income $208.1M (+23.37% YoY). EPS $1.88 (+27.03% YoY). Gross margin 29.97 (+13.44% YoY). Takeaway: solid top-line growth with stronger operating leverage/profitability expansion—fundamentals support the longer-term uptrend.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so recent Wall Street trend cannot be confirmed from this dataset. Pros typically align with: strong profitability and margin expansion, consistent execution, and trend strength. Cons typically include: buying after a sharp run-up (valuation/entry risk) and sensitivity to industrial/cycle conditions. Politician/congress trading: no recent congress trading data available; insider trend noted as neutral.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MLI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MLI is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy