Should I Buy MKL? MKL 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Markel Group Inc (MKL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

2020.620

1 Day change

0.50%

52 Week Range

2207.590

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Markel Group Inc (MKL) does not present a strong buying opportunity at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, insider selling activity is high, and financial performance shows declining profitability. While the stock is oversold, there are no strong positive catalysts or proprietary trading signals to support a buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-14.239) and expanding downward, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 12.843, signaling an oversold condition. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near a key support level (S1: 2026.317), but the overall technical setup remains weak.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high Open Interest Put-Call Ratio (1.71) indicates bearish sentiment, while the low Option Volume Put-Call Ratio (0.12) suggests limited put activity relative to calls. Implied volatility is low (19.69), with an IV percentile of 11.6, indicating low expectations for significant price movement.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

The stock is oversold based on RSI, which could attract short-term buyers. Revenue growth of 6.25% YoY in Q3 2025 is a positive sign of top-line expansion.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Insider selling has increased by 244.44% in the last month, signaling a lack of confidence from company insiders. Net income dropped by 13.42% YoY, and EPS declined by 10.57% YoY in Q3 2025, reflecting weakening profitability. The MACD and other technical indicators suggest bearish momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 6.25% YoY to $3.94 billion. However, net income dropped by 13.42% YoY to $746.68 million, and EPS declined by 10.57% YoY to 59.25. Gross margin remained unchanged. The financial performance indicates growth in revenue but declining profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No specific analyst rating or price target data is provided. However, Wall Street sentiment appears cautious given the lack of strong positive catalysts and insider selling activity.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MKL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MKL is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 2010.580

Low

Averages

High

Current: 2010.580

Low

Averages

High

Argus

Hold

Buy

upgrade

AI Analysis

2025-05-30

Reason

Argus

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-05-30

upgrade

Hold

Buy

Reason

Argus upgraded Markel to Buy from Hold.

Argus

downgrade

2025-05-30

Reason

Argus

Price Target

2025-05-30

downgrade

Reason

Argus says that based on Markel's Q1 catastrophe events and projected lower equity valuations, offset by improving investment income, the firm is lowering its GAAP 2025 and 2026 EPS estimates. The company's results and ROE measures are "too inconsistent for us to recommend the shares," though it likes the company's focus on underwriting profitability and accretive acquisitions and "may look to move MKL back to our BUY list" if ROE consistently improves or the company begins to pay a dividend, the analyst tells investors.

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MKL Should I Buy

MKL Should I Buy

Should You Buy Markel Group Inc (MKL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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