Should I Buy MGPI? MGPI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

25.110

1 Day change

2.74%

52 Week Range

36.470

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at the moment. The stock shows mixed signals, with weak financial performance, insider selling, and limited positive catalysts. While hedge funds are buying, the company's recent earnings decline and lack of strong growth prospects in the near term do not align with the user's investment goals.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a bullish trend. RSI is neutral at 62.051, and moving averages are converging, showing no strong directional momentum. The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 25.674), suggesting limited immediate upside.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Hedge funds have increased buying by 203.87% over the last quarter. Analysts from Benchmark initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $35 price target, citing potential recovery in the Branded Spirits portfolio and Ingredient business by 2026-2027.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Insiders have increased selling by 431.07% over the last month. Financial performance in Q3 2025 showed significant declines in revenue (-18.92% YoY), net income (-35.59% YoY), and EPS (-33.64% YoY). Analysts from TD Cowen and Wells Fargo have lowered price targets, reflecting concerns about near-term challenges.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue dropped to $130.91M (-18.92% YoY), net income fell to $15.23M (-35.59% YoY), and EPS declined to $0.71 (-33.64% YoY). Gross margin also decreased to 37.76% (-7.36% YoY), indicating weaker profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed. Benchmark initiated a Buy rating with a $35 price target, citing potential recovery in 2026-2027. However, TD Cowen and Wells Fargo lowered price targets to $24 and $29, respectively, reflecting near-term challenges in the spirits and consumer staples sectors.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast MGPI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MGPI is 34.75 USD with a low forecast of 24 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 24.440

Low

Averages

34.75

High

Current: 24.440

Low

Averages

34.75

High

Benchmark

Buy

initiated

$35

AI Analysis

2026-01-22

Reason

Benchmark

Price Target

$35

AI Analysis

2026-01-22

initiated

Buy

Reason

As previously reported, Benchmark initiated coverage of MGP Ingredients with a Buy rating and $35 price target. MGP has seen earnings erosion over the past 18 months amid "a punishing time for the spirits sector and a reorientation of its legacy Ingredients business," the analyst tells investors. However, the firm believes the company has taken a thoughtful approach to managing macro challenges and it expects the strength of its Branded Spirits portfolio and improvement in its Ingredient business can offset some of the Distilling segment headwinds in 2026 and lead to a possible return of revenue growth in 2027.

Benchmark

NULL -> Buy

initiated

$35

2026-01-22

Reason

Benchmark

Price Target

$35

2026-01-22

initiated

NULL -> Buy

Reason

Benchmark initiated coverage of MGP Ingredients with a Buy rating and $35 price target.

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MGPI Should I Buy

MGPI Should I Buy

Should You Buy MGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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