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MGM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy MGM Resorts International (MGM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
35.620
1 Day change
-1.93%
52 Week Range
40.160
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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MGM Resorts International is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive hedge fund sentiment, and potential catalysts like Las Vegas hosting the 2029 Super Bowl outweigh the neutral analyst ratings and minor negative catalysts. The technical indicators also support a bullish trend, making it a viable investment option.

Technical Analysis

The stock's technical indicators are bullish. The MACD histogram is positive and expanding, indicating upward momentum. The RSI is neutral at 61.755, suggesting no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the pre-market price of $37.57 is above the pivot level of $36.641, nearing the first resistance level of $37.699.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their buying activity, up 161.90% in the last quarter.

  • Las Vegas is a strong contender to host the 2029 Super Bowl, which could boost tourism and economic recovery.

  • MGM's all-inclusive vacation packages aim to attract more customers and address declining tourism.

  • Strong Q4 financial performance with revenue up 5.95% YoY, net income up 93.66% YoY, and EPS up 107.69% YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have mixed ratings, with some downgrades citing weaker fundamentals in Las Vegas and Macau.

  • Gross margin dropped by 3.28% YoY in Q4

  • Regulatory risks, such as the proposed STOP Corrupt Bets Act, could impact the gaming industry.

Financial Performance

MGM Resorts delivered strong Q4 2025 financial results: Revenue increased by 5.95% YoY to $4.61 billion, net income surged by 93.66% YoY to $299.23 million, and EPS rose by 107.69% YoY to $1.08. However, gross margin declined by 3.28% YoY to 37.98%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. Recent upgrades include Stifel raising the price target to $50 with a Buy rating and Citi and JPMorgan increasing their targets to $41 with Neutral ratings. However, Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock to Underweight, citing weaker fundamentals in Las Vegas and Macau. The price targets range from $33 to $56, with a consensus leaning towards Neutral.

Wall Street analysts forecast MGM stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MGM stock price to rise
5 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 36.320
sliders
Low
29
Averages
40.31
High
56
Current: 36.320
sliders
Low
29
Averages
40.31
High
56
Morgan Stanley
Underweight
maintain
$33 -> $34
AI Analysis
2026-02-11
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$33 -> $34
AI Analysis
2026-02-11
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on MGM Resorts to $34 from $33 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. MGM printed a Q4 beat on better Las Vegas and Macau results, but this was largely driven by hold, the analyst tells investors in an earnings recap note.
Citi
James Hardiman
Neutral
maintain
$35 -> $41
2026-02-09
Reason
Citi
James Hardiman
Price Target
$35 -> $41
2026-02-09
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Citi analyst James Hardiman raised the firm's price target on MGM Resorts to $41 from $35 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
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