MCRI Valuation

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc

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104.960

+0.89(0.855%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

MCRI Relative Valuation

MCRI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MCRI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 18.76 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 16.69. The fair price of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) is between 72.37 to 100.60 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 104.58 USD , Monarch Casino & Resort Inc is Overvalued By 3.96%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

72.37-100.60

Current Price：104.58

3.96%

Overvalued

18.60

Trailing

Forward

9.35

EV/EBITDA

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.35. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 8.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.05, Undervalued between 5.05 and 7.01, Fairly Valued between 10.93 and 7.01, Overvalued between 10.93 and 12.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.89. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.35 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

13.70

EV/EBIT

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) has a current EV/EBIT of 13.70. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 13.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.99, Undervalued between 6.99 and 10.11, Fairly Valued between 16.34 and 10.11, Overvalued between 16.34 and 19.46, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.46. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 13.70 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.43

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) has a current PS of 3.43. The 5-year average PS is 2.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.15, Undervalued between 2.15 and 2.50, Fairly Valued between 3.20 and 2.50, Overvalued between 3.20 and 3.55, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.55. The current Forward PS of 3.43 falls within the Overvalued range.

11.47

P/OCF

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) has a current P/OCF of 11.47. The 5-year average P/OCF is 9.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.50, Undervalued between 5.50 and 7.60, Fairly Valued between 11.80 and 7.60, Overvalued between 11.80 and 13.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.91. The current Forward P/OCF of 11.47 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

12.79

P/FCF

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) has a current P/FCF of 12.79. The 5-year average P/FCF is 11.91. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.25, Undervalued between 6.25 and 9.08, Fairly Valued between 14.74 and 9.08, Overvalued between 14.74 and 17.57, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.57. The current Forward P/FCF of 12.79 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 3.55. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.74 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 29.51% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.82, the current P/B ratio is about 25.94% higher. Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 5.44%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 7.33%, the current FCF yield is approximately -25.79% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.81% , the current FCF yield is about 13.12% lower.

3.52

P/B

Median3y

2.74

Median5y

2.82

5.44

FCF Yield

Median3y

7.33

Median5y

4.81

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MCRI's competitors is 1.58, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Monarch Casino & Resort Inc Corp (MCRI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.43, which is 116.87% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 6.84%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

MCRI.O

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc

Target Hospitality Corp

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc

Murano Global Investments Plc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of MCRI increased by 38.25% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 20.58 to 24.69.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 11.47%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of MCRI in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

6.84%

128.14M → 136.91M

Revenue Growth

11.47%

17.70 → 19.73

Margin Expansion

19.94%

20.58 → 24.69

P/E Change

38.25%