Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that MCHP stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $68.75, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $70.11. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $69.72. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $45.20, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $21.51. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MCHP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
MCHP stock price ended at $69.21 on Friday, after rising2.06%
The Microchip Technology Inc stock price increased by 2.06% on the last trading day (25 Jul 2025), rising from 67.77 to 69.21. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.35% , ranging from a day low of $67.675 to a day high of 69.265. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -7.18% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -5.01M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 8.35M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 572.79M.
MCHP Technical Signals
MCHP(Microchip Technology Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-07-21. The total price change during this trend is -6.28%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of MCHP over the last 5 trading days is 794.15M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
MCHP Moving Average Analysis
Microchip Technology Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, July 27, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $77.63, and $81.20. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $66.06, and $62.48. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MCHP Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Microchip Technology Inc(MCHP) as of 24 Jul 2025 is 20.91%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 70.25 to 67.81. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Buy
Sell
2
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
18.927
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-143.772
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.111
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
1
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
4.742
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $25.85 and $66.93.
Microchip Technology Inc Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -27.40%
In Jan 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $51.98. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $41.00 and a high of $57.51.
Feb 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -48.73%
In Feb 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $36.71. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $26.58 and a high of $47.86.
Mar 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -31.62%
In Mar 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $48.96. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $46.66 and a high of $51.29.
Apr 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -49.22%
In Apr 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $36.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $25.85 and a high of $45.43.
May 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -27.40%
In May 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $51.98. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $39.35 and a high of $61.52.
Jun 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -30.51%
In Jun 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $49.75. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $43.38 and a high of $66.93.
Jul 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -36.86%
In Jul 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $45.20. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $38.04 and a high of $47.86.
Aug 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -45.64%
In Aug 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $38.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $31.14 and a high of $52.89.
Sep 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -42.32%
In Sep 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $41.30. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $29.52 and a high of $42.06.
Oct 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -36.13%
In Oct 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $45.73. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $42.43 and a high of $47.47.
Nov 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -49.22%
In Nov 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $36.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $29.56 and a high of $42.12.
Dec 2026: MCHP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -27.40%
In Dec 2026, Microchip Technology Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $51.98. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $38.05 and a high of $52.07.
MCHP Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Microchip Technology Inc(MCHP), our algorithm predicts MCHP's 1-month price at $73.37, with an -1.89%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.49%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 20, 2025 , forecasts a -1.89% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AEIS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.49%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MCHP
Future prediction
Up: -1.89%
AEIS
Down: -1.89%Similarity: 97.49%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
AEIS.O
97.49%
-1.89%
JEF.N
97.16%
-12.23%
DV.N
97.02%
-6.66%
TXN.O
97.01%
-14.60%
AOSL.O
97.00%
-4.75%
RMR.O
96.96%
+2.76%
TFX.N
96.66%
-4.94%
SHG.N
96.60%
+3.29%
ZWS.N
96.55%
+0.92%
MSM.N
96.54%
+2.03%
MCHP Seasonality Analysis
Based on MCHP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MCHP. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at78.57%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (78.57%), while September has the lowest probability (38.46%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MCHP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (78.57%), while September has the lowest probability (38.46%).
How has Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
MCHP's stock price rose by 30.51% in 2023,decreased by -34.24% in 2024, and went up by 22.59%in 2025.
Bearish technical signals of MCHP include: MOM_10 < 0, 10-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA.
Is MCHP a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
MCHP has 5 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for MCHP is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of MCHP.
What is the trend of Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP)'s moving average?
Microchip Technology Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of July 27 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for MCHP stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP.O) stock, as of July 20 2025, forecasts a -1.89% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AEIS stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.49%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for MCHP Stock?
MCHP stock is expected to reach a price of **$75** by the end of 2025, driven by strong analyst sentiment and positive market trends in the semiconductor sector. The stock is currently overbought, with high RSI and Stochastic levels, suggesting short-term resistance at **$75**. Analysts maintain a **$68-$70** price target, indicating moderate upside potential.
What is price prediction 2030 for MCHP Stock?
### **Price Prediction for MCHP Stock by 2030**
MCHP stock is expected to reach **$85 to $115** by 2030, driven by its strong operational improvements and market position. The stock's current high valuation and semiconductor sector cyclicality may limit upside potential.