Should You Buy Live Nation Entertainment Inc (LYV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
147.780
1 Day change
0.17%
52 Week Range
175.250
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Buy LYV now for a near-term swing/tactical position. The Intellectia SwingMax entry signal (2026-01-28) is active with virtually no adverse move since, and current technicals (positive/expanding MACD, RSI ~62) support continued upside momentum. While options positioning is mildly defensive (puts slightly outweigh calls) and insider selling is a clear negative, the tape is strong into resistance and recent news flow shows investors leaning toward confidence despite the DOJ overhang.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.185) and expanding, indicating strengthening bullish momentum. RSI(6) ~62.5 is neutral-to-bullish (not overbought), consistent with an advancing trend that still has room.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest the stock is transitioning from consolidation into a potential continuation move rather than being extended.
Levels: Price 147.78 is just below R1 148.729 (near-term breakout/decision area). A clean push above ~148.7 opens room toward R2 151.657. Key downside levels are Pivot 143.988, then S1 139.247.
Pattern-based probability: Similar-pattern study suggests a positive skew (60% chance of gains) with estimated +1.77% next day, +4.64% next week, +14.23% next month.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): Entry signal triggered on 2026-01-28; price change since signal is ~0.01%, implying the entry is still timely and supports a buy-low/sell-high swing setup.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put-call ratio 1.16 and volume put-call ratio 1.06 indicate slightly more put positioning/flow than calls (mildly cautious/bearish tilt).
Volatility: 30D IV 35.54 vs historical vol 40.14 implies options are pricing less volatility than realized; IV percentile 66.67 suggests IV is elevated versus its own range (but IV rank 14.19 suggests it’s not extreme versus the past year range depending on methodology).
Activity: Today’s options volume (2550) is below recent averages (75% of 30D avg; below 5D/10D avg), suggesting no major one-day options conviction despite the slightly defensive skew.
Technical Summary
Sell
1
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
1) Momentum/technical setup: Positive and expanding MACD with RSI still below overbought supports continuation.
2) SwingMax signal: Recent entry signal with minimal move since improves near-term risk/reward for an impatient swing buyer.
3) Demand narrative: Analysts continue to cite durable demand indicators (e.g., onsite spending and deferred revenue growth referenced in notes).
4) Event-driven bounce: Stock reacted positively (+5.8%) around the recent DOJ court hearing, signaling investor willingness to look through litigation noise.
5) Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-25 (after hours) can re-rate the stock if margins/earnings trajectory improves.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
1) Regulatory/legal overhang: Ongoing DOJ antitrust lawsuit; uncertainty remains after the latest hearing without a ruling timeline.
2) Insider activity: Insiders are selling, with selling amount up ~796% over the last month (clear sentiment headwind).
4) Fundamental profitability pressure: Latest quarter showed sharp YoY declines in net income and EPS despite revenue growth.
5) Near-term technical friction: Price is sitting just under R1 (~148.7), where failed breakouts can trigger short pullbacks toward the pivot (~144).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Growth: Revenue increased to 8.50B, +11.08% YoY (healthy top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income fell to 171.6M, -56.80% YoY; EPS fell to 0.73, -56.02% YoY.
Margins: Gross margin slipped to 22.31% (down ~1.54% YoY), indicating cost/operating pressure.
Takeaway: Strong demand/top-line trends are intact, but earnings/margin compression is the key issue the market needs to see stabilize or reverse.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Street stance: Predominantly bullish (Buy/Overweight/Outperform/Positive) across UBS, Guggenheim, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Roth, Evercore, Susquehanna.
Price target trend: Multiple targets were trimmed in early Nov 2025 (generally from ~180 down to ~168–176 range), reflecting near-term headwinds (notably Ticketmaster-related pressures and a rare miss), but ratings stayed positive.
Pros (Wall Street view): Strong secular tailwinds in live entertainment, multiple growth vectors (venues/international expansion/artist management), and continued demand indicators.
Cons (Wall Street view): Ticketmaster headwinds/one-time pressures, occasional softness in concerts trends, and litigation/regulatory uncertainty.
Influential/political trading check: No recent congress trading data available; no politician activity provided in the dataset.
Wall Street analysts forecast LYV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LYV is 175.86 USD with a low forecast of 164 USD and a high forecast of 190 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LYV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LYV is 175.86 USD with a low forecast of 164 USD and a high forecast of 190 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 147.530
Low
164
Averages
175.86
High
190
Current: 147.530
Low
164
Averages
175.86
High
190
UBS
Buy
initiated
$164
AI Analysis
2025-11-25
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$164
AI Analysis
2025-11-25
initiated
Buy
Reason
UBS initiated coverage of Live Nation with a Buy rating and $164 price target. The firm believes the company is well positioned to benefit from the "strong secular trends" driving double-digit growth in the live entertainment industry. Live Nation has "multiple growth vectors" given its investments in new venues, expansion to international markets, and global artist management, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Guggenheim
Curry Baker
Buy
maintain
$175 -> $172
2025-11-18
Reason
Guggenheim
Curry Baker
Price Target
$175 -> $172
2025-11-18
maintain
Buy
Reason
Guggenheim analyst Curry Baker lowered the firm's price target on Live Nation to $172 from $175 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after updating the firm's model for Q4 and 2026. The largest changes are at Ticketmaster, which faces some one-time headwinds over the next few quarters, the analyst tells investors.
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