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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: positive aspects include a strong cash position, reduced expenses, and expected milestone payments. However, challenges such as market headwinds, regulatory issues, trial delays, and lack of shareholder return plans offset these positives. The Q&A reveals uncertainties in trial timelines and partnerships, contributing to a cautious outlook. Given these factors, the stock price reaction is likely to remain neutral over the next two weeks, with no significant catalysts to drive a strong movement either way.
Operating Expenses $5.8 million (decrease of $0.8 million, or 11.4% year-over-year) due to reduced spending in clinical research organization expenses and site expenses.
Research and Development Expenses $2.6 million (decrease of $0.6 million, or 19.7% year-over-year) primarily due to a reduction in clinical research organization expenses and site expenses associated with the Phase 2a Bolster trial.
General and Administrative Expenses $3.2 million (decrease of approximately $0.1 million, or 3.4% year-over-year) primarily due to one-off settlement costs in the prior year, partially offset by increased consulting and severance costs.
Net Losses $4.7 million (decrease of $0.7 million year-over-year from $5.4 million) indicating progress in R&D and business activities while maintaining prudent capital management.
Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Marketable Securities Approximately $25.8 million as of March 31, 2025, which is expected to support operations into the third quarter of 2026.
Certepetide Development: Lisata is advancing its clinical development portfolio for Certepetide, targeting solid tumors and other difficult-to-treat diseases. Preliminary results from the ASCEND trial and iLSTA trial presented at the 2025 ASCO GI Symposium show positive trends in overall survival.
Market Positioning: Lisata continues to maintain strong momentum into 2025 despite market headwinds for small-cap healthcare companies, indicating resilience in its market positioning.
Operating Expenses: Operating expenses decreased to $5.8 million in Q1 2025 from $6.6 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a reduction in R&D and administrative costs.
Cash Position: As of March 31, 2025, Lisata had cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of approximately $25.8 million, expected to support operations into Q3 2026.
Collaborations: Lisata has established collaborations with Valo Therapeutics, Kuva Labs, and Catalent to explore new strategic development opportunities for Certepetide.
Market Headwinds: Lisata is facing persistent market headwinds for small-cap healthcare companies, which may impact its operations and growth.
Regulatory Challenges: The ASCEND trial was originally designed with academic rather than commercial objectives, leading to necessary amendments that could delay data availability.
Clinical Trial Delays: Data from Cohort B of the ASCEND trial is delayed compared to Cohort A, which may affect the overall timeline for regulatory submissions.
Funding and Capital Management: Lisata is focused on initiating trials that can be funded through existing capital, indicating potential risks if funding is insufficient for future projects.
Investor Control: Several clinical trials are investigator-initiated, limiting Lisata's control over study timelines and outcomes, which may lead to unexpected delays.
Economic Factors: The company’s financial results indicate a net loss of $4.7 million for Q1 2025, which may raise concerns about financial sustainability amid ongoing expenses.
Certepetide Development: Lisata is advancing its clinical development portfolio for Certepetide, targeting solid tumors and other difficult-to-treat diseases, with several key milestones anticipated in the next 12 to 18 months.
ASCEND Trial: The ASCEND trial is evaluating Certepetide in combination with standard-of-care chemotherapy for metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, with preliminary positive results presented at the 2025 ASCO GI Symposium.
Bolster Trial: The Bolster trial is a Phase 2a trial for cholangiocarcinoma, with enrollment completed ahead of schedule, and top-line data expected in mid-2025.
Collaborations: Lisata has established collaborations with Valo Therapeutics, Kuva Labs, and Catalent to explore new strategic development opportunities for Certepetide.
Financial Outlook: Lisata has approximately $25.8 million in cash and equivalents, expected to support operations into the third quarter of 2026.
Revenue Expectations: Qilu Pharmaceutical is expected to provide a $10 million milestone payment upon dosing of the first patient in their Phase 3 study of Certepetide.
Data Readouts: Key data readouts from various trials are anticipated throughout 2025, contributing to a data-rich year for Lisata.
Shareholder Return Plan: Lisata Therapeutics has not announced any share buyback program or dividend program during this earnings call.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. The financial performance shows a decrease in expenses and net losses, which is positive. However, the Q&A reveals uncertainties, particularly regarding the timing of trial data and funding for the ASCEND Phase III trial. The market has not reacted positively to clinical data, and management's responses were sometimes vague. The strategic plan highlights promising collaborations and trials, but the lack of immediate catalysts and macroeconomic challenges temper the sentiment. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, reflecting a balance of positive financial health and uncertainties in execution.
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment. While there are positive developments like reduced losses and strategic collaborations, significant risks remain. The company's reliance on Certepetide and the need for capital for Phase III trials are concerning. The Q&A section did not alleviate these concerns, particularly with management's unclear responses on regulatory challenges. The decrease in expenses and positive cash position are offset by the limited revenue and pipeline risks. Without clear positive catalysts or guidance, the stock is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: positive aspects include a strong cash position, reduced expenses, and expected milestone payments. However, challenges such as market headwinds, regulatory issues, trial delays, and lack of shareholder return plans offset these positives. The Q&A reveals uncertainties in trial timelines and partnerships, contributing to a cautious outlook. Given these factors, the stock price reaction is likely to remain neutral over the next two weeks, with no significant catalysts to drive a strong movement either way.
The earnings call highlights strategic collaborations, reduced operating expenses, and a solid cash position, which are positive. However, the absence of a shareholder return plan, regulatory challenges, and limited control over trial timelines introduce uncertainties. The Q&A session reveals concerns about enrollment impacts and vague management responses, further tempering optimism. Given these mixed signals and the lack of a market cap, the stock is likely to experience minimal movement, leading to a neutral prediction.
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