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The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance and optimistic guidance, particularly in revenue growth, AI market expansion, and product development. The company announced a significant partnership with NVIDIA, indicating potential short-term gains. While concerns about lead times and inventory were noted, management's proactive approach and confidence in achieving high growth targets suggest a positive outlook. The absence of market cap data limits the exact prediction, but the overall sentiment supports a positive stock price movement in the next two weeks.
Q4 2025 Revenue $145.8 million, up 24.2% year-over-year. Growth driven by record performance in communications and computing, up 60% year-over-year, benefiting from strong data center growth.
Full Year 2025 Revenue $523.3 million, up 2.7% year-over-year. Growth driven by platform successes in communications and computing (up 28%), partially offset by an 18% decline in industrial and automotive due to channel inventory normalization.
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (2025) 69.3%, up 190 basis points year-over-year. Reflects value proposition to customers.
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (2025) Expanded 340 basis points year-over-year. Achieved through improved operational performance and targeted investments.
Non-GAAP EPS (2025) $1.05, up 17% year-over-year. Demonstrates leverage in the business model by growing earnings faster than revenue.
GAAP Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities (2025) $175.1 million, up from $140.9 million in 2024. Operating cash flow margin improved to 33.5% from 27.7% in 2024.
Free Cash Flow (2025) $133 million, up from $120 million in 2024. Free cash flow margin improved to 25.3% from 23.5% in 2024.
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Operating Margin 30.7%, up 170 basis points year-over-year. Reflects strategic investments in small and midrange FPGA markets.
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP EPS $0.32, up 14% quarter-on-quarter. In line with guidance.
Q4 2025 Free Cash Flow $44 million, up from $34 million in Q3 2025. Free cash flow margin improved to 30.2% from 25.2% in Q3 2025.
New Product Revenue Growth: In 2025, new product revenue grew approximately 70%. Nexus and Avant adoption continues to broaden, and new product revenue is expected to reach the mid-20% range as a percent of total revenue in 2026.
Market Expansion in Data Center AI and Physical AI: Accelerated design win momentum in data center AI and physical AI, with Tier 1 customer deployments and expanding companion use cases.
Industrial Market Recovery: Industrial market returning to growth, supported by normalized channel inventory and expanding use cases.
Revenue Growth: Q4 2025 revenue of $145.8 million, up 9.3% sequentially and 24.2% year-over-year. Full year 2025 revenue of $523.3 million, up 2.7% year-over-year.
Operational Efficiency: Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 69.3% in 2025, with operating margin increasing by 340 basis points. Free cash flow margin improved to 25.3% in 2025.
Companion Chip Strategy: Focus on low-power FPGAs as companion chips for data center AI and physical AI applications, driving sustainable diversified growth.
Investment in R&D: Increased investments in silicon, software, systems, operations, and infrastructure to support growth at scale and extend leadership in small and mid-range FPGAs.
Market Conditions: The company faces macroeconomic uncertainties that could impact demand and growth. While the company is optimistic about growth, it acknowledges the need to navigate these uncertainties.
Competitive Pressures: Lattice is investing heavily in R&D to maintain leadership in small and mid-range FPGAs, indicating competitive pressures in the semiconductor industry.
Supply Chain Disruptions: The company is deliberately building internal inventory to support growth, which suggests concerns about potential supply chain disruptions.
Economic Uncertainties: The company remains cautious about macroeconomic conditions and their potential impact on operations and financial performance.
Strategic Execution Risks: Lattice is making significant investments in talent, infrastructure, and technology to support long-term growth, which could pose execution risks if not managed effectively.
Revenue Guidance for Q1 2026: Expected revenue range of $158 million to $172 million, representing 37% year-over-year growth and 13% sequential growth.
EPS Guidance for Q1 2026: Non-GAAP EPS expected to be in the range of $0.34 to $0.38 per share.
Gross Margin Guidance for Q1 2026: Expected to be 69.5%, plus or minus 1%, on a non-GAAP basis.
Operating Expense Guidance for Q1 2026: Non-GAAP operating expenses expected to be between $59 million and $61 million, with most growth in R&D investments.
Full Year 2026 Revenue Growth Expectation: Highly confident in achieving at least 20% year-over-year growth, with improved visibility to growth above that.
Full Year 2026 Gross Margin Expectation: Gross margin expected to remain in the same range as Q1 guidance, with potential fluctuations due to customer mix.
Full Year 2026 Operating Expense Trend: OpEx expected to increase in Q2, followed by slower growth in the second half of the year, primarily driven by R&D investments.
Tax Rate Guidance for 2026: Income tax rate expected to be between 4% and 7% on a non-GAAP basis.
Inventory Strategy for 2026: Internal inventory being deliberately built to support growth, with low risk of obsolescence due to long product life cycles.
Share Repurchase Program: For the full year 2025, Lattice repurchased approximately 1.8 million shares or $100 million of the company's common stock. As this repurchase program was completed in Q4, the Board of Directors authorized the company to repurchase an additional $250 million of its outstanding common stock.
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance and optimistic guidance, particularly in revenue growth, AI market expansion, and product development. The company announced a significant partnership with NVIDIA, indicating potential short-term gains. While concerns about lead times and inventory were noted, management's proactive approach and confidence in achieving high growth targets suggest a positive outlook. The absence of market cap data limits the exact prediction, but the overall sentiment supports a positive stock price movement in the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals strong growth expectations, particularly in communications and compute, with a promising outlook for industrial and automotive segments. Significant design wins in AI and data centers bolster future prospects. Although gross margins are stable, revenue from new products is rising, and increased free cash flow margins are anticipated. The Q&A session provided clarity on growth drivers and market trends, despite some vague responses. Overall, the company's optimistic guidance and strong market positioning suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with record design win momentum and robust new product revenue growth. The Q&A session indicates confidence in future growth, especially in AI and automotive sectors, and highlights strong market positioning and shareholder returns. Although there are some uncertainties in gross margins and inventory, the overall sentiment remains positive, bolstered by optimistic guidance and strategic focus on innovation and market expansion.
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