Should I Buy LOT? LOT 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Lotus Technology Inc (LOT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

1.290

1 Day change

0.78%

52 Week Range

3.570

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

LOT is not a good buy right now. The stock is in a clear bearish trend (downtrend across key moving averages with weakening momentum), hedge funds are materially increasing selling, and the latest quarter shows steep YoY revenue decline and deeper losses. With no proprietary Intellectia buy signals today and limited credible near-term catalysts in the provided news, this is an avoid/new-buy ‘no’ for an impatient investor.

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum: Bearish. The moving averages are stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), confirming a downtrend. MACD histogram is negative (-0.0157) and expanding lower, suggesting downside momentum is still building rather than stabilizing. Oscillators: RSI(6) at ~28.9 is near/just below the typical oversold threshold (30), which can enable short-lived bounces, but in strong downtrends oversold can persist. Levels: Price 1.29 is essentially at S1 (1.292) and slightly below the pivot (1.403). If S1 fails, next support is S2 (1.223). Upside resistance sits at pivot 1.403, then R1 1.513. Net: risk-reward is not attractive for an immediate entry unless there is a confirmed reversal signal (not present). Pattern/near-term bias: Similar-pattern stats show higher odds of a small next-day dip (-1.11% probability 70%), which does not support buying immediately.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

Gross margin improved sharply YoY in 2025/Q3 (to 7.91, +145.65% YoY), which could support a valuation floor if sustained.
RSI is near oversold, which can trigger tactical dead-cat bounces.
Regular market and pre-market changes were slightly positive (+0.78% regular, +1.56% pre-market), indicating some near-term dip-buying interest.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Primary trend is down (bearish MA stack + MACD getting more negative), so rallies are more likely to fade.
Hedge funds are selling aggressively (selling amount up ~159.81% over last quarter), a strong negative sentiment/positioning signal.
Latest quarter fundamentals deteriorated sharply: revenue -46.04% YoY, net loss widened (net income -68.21% YoY), EPS down -66.67% YoY.
Provided news items appear unrelated to Lotus Technology Inc, reducing confidence in any event-driven upside catalyst from the news summary.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue: 137.432M, down -46.04% YoY (strong contraction). Net income: -65.415M, down -68.21% YoY (losses deepened). EPS: -0.10, down -66.67% YoY. Gross margin: 7.91, up +145.65% YoY (a bright spot), but not enough to offset the steep revenue decline and larger losses. Overall: growth trend is negative; profitability remains meaningfully weak.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a current Wall Street pros/cons view cannot be confirmed from this dataset. Based on the data available here, the bear case dominates (downtrend + institutional selling + shrinking revenue), while the bull case is limited mainly to margin improvement and a potential oversold bounce.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LOT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LOT is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold