Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: trend/price action is still bearish and there are no near-term catalysts.
Oversold conditions (RSI ~20) can spark a short bounce, but momentum (MACD) is still deteriorating—risk of further downside remains elevated.
Fundamentals are weakening (Q3’25 revenue down, margins down, net loss), which reduces conviction for a quick rebound trade.
Hedge funds are buying, but without confirming price reversal signals, it’s not enough to justify an immediate entry.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.124) and expanding lower → bearish momentum is strengthening.
RSI: RSI_6 at 20.44 indicates deeply oversold conditions (despite the label provided), which may allow a short-term relief bounce but is not a trend reversal by itself.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest consolidation, but momentum indicators still favor downside.
Key levels: Pivot 11.598 is well above current price (~10.60), implying price is below a key control level.
Immediate support: S1 10.869 (already below it), next support S2 10.418.
Resistance overhead: Pivot 11.598, then R1 12.328.
Pattern-based probabilities: Similar-pattern model suggests mild positive next-day potential (+1.28%), flat-to-slightly negative next week (-0.34%), and better 1-month upside (+5.46%); however, current momentum is still bearish.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call ratio at 0.15 is very call-heavy → bullish/optimistic positioning.
Activity: Put volume exists (42) but call volume is 0 today; overall volume is light and not a strong real-time confirmation of bullish sentiment.
Volatility: 30D IV ~59.69 vs historical volatility ~36.92 → options are pricing elevated uncertainty.
IV trend: IV 5D/10D averages (68.7/67.1) are above current IV, suggesting IV has cooled recently, but remains high overall.
Takeaway: Options skew is bullish via open interest, but today’s flow is thin; not a strong “buy now” confirmation.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
Hedge funds are buying aggressively (reported +426% quarter-over-quarter buying amount), which can provide longer-horizon support.
Oversold technical condition increases odds of a near-term bounce.
No negative news flow reported in the last week (absence of new bad headlines).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
and sitting near lower support zones (risk of testing S2 ~10.418).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 157,334,938.79, down -18.11% YoY → demand/price/mix pressure.
Profitability: Net income -6,366,135.14 (down -128.61% YoY) → swung deeper into loss.
EPS: -0.01 (down -125% YoY).
Gross margin: 17.33, down -23.22% YoY → margin compression is a key negative trend.
Overall: The latest quarter shows deteriorating growth and profitability, which weakens the case for an immediate buy.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating / price target change data provided in the dataset, so a recent trend cannot be confirmed.
Wall Street-style pros (based on provided data): hedge fund accumulation; potential oversold bounce setup.
Cons: weakening Q3’25 fundamentals (revenue decline, margin compression, net loss) and bearish momentum; lack of near-term catalysts.
Politicians/Congress: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential-figure trades provided.
Insiders: Neutral (no significant insider trading trend over the last month).
Wall Street analysts forecast LOMA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LOMA is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast LOMA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LOMA is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 10.780
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 10.780
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Citi
Andres Cardona
initiated
$16
AI Analysis
2025-06-19
Reason
Citi
Andres Cardona
Price Target
$16
AI Analysis
2025-06-19
initiated
Reason
Citi analyst Andres Cardona initiated coverage of Loma Negra with a Buy rating and $16 price target. The firm sees cement consumption per capita at 205kg, the lowest level since 2005, offering an "interesting entry point" to a multi-year cement demand recovery. Cement demand is strongly linked to macro performance, driving a "powerful earnings momentum narrative over the coming years," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Citi says that unlike 2017, when Loma did its initial public offering, it foresees no major capex commitment for the company. As such, the company has a strong free cash flow case, the firm contends. It sees a good entry point with Loma shares down 18% from recent highs.
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight -> Overweight
upgrade
$13 -> $15
2025-05-20
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$13 -> $15
2025-05-20
upgrade
Equal Weight -> Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley upgraded Loma Negra to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $15, up from $13. The firm says a more supportive macro backdrop and solid pricing traction should allow Loma to "lead in a rising market and pave the way for stronger fundamentals." It sees an upward bias for the shares, noting the stock's valuation metrics show Loma trading at a discount to historical levels.
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