Should You Buy Loar Holdings Inc (LOAR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
LOAR is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor because the stock is still in a clear short-term downtrend (bearish moving-average stack and weakening MACD). While fundamentals and Wall Street outlook are strong, the technical setup suggests downside/whipsaw risk is still elevated near support. A better buy trigger would be a reclaim of ~71.98 (pivot) with improving momentum; until then, holding (or waiting) is the higher-probability decision.
Technical Analysis
Price is ~70 (closed), sitting just above S1 support at 69.135 and below the pivot at 71.977. Trend is bearish: SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 indicates sustained downside bias across timeframes. Momentum is also bearish: MACD histogram is negative (-0.434) and expanding lower, implying selling pressure is still building. RSI(6) is 34.7, which is weak/near oversold but not showing a confirmed reversal signal. Key levels: downside risk opens toward S2 ~67.379 if 69.135 breaks; bulls need a move back above ~71.98, then 74.82 (R1) to confirm trend improvement. Pattern-based expectation is slightly positive next day (+1.6%) but negative over the next week (-2.86%), aligning with a weak near-term tape.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent Street tone is clearly positive with multiple Buy/Overweight initiations/maintains and high targets: Goldman Sachs initiated Buy with $91 PT (2025-11-25); Citi initiated Buy with $83 PT (2025-12-11); Morgan Stanley maintained Overweight while trimming PT to $97 from $100 (2025-11-13), citing strong execution and conservative 2026 outlook. Wall Street pros: high-quality aerospace aftermarket compounder, strong financial profile, favorable sector megatrends. Cons: near-term execution/forecast conservatism and current tape/positioning risk (reinforced by hedge fund selling). Politician/congress activity: none reported in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast LOAR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LOAR is 85.85 USD with a low forecast of 67.25 USD and a high forecast of 97 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast LOAR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LOAR is 85.85 USD with a low forecast of 67.25 USD and a high forecast of 97 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 68.970
Current: 68.970
