Should I Buy LNSR? LNSR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy LENSAR Inc (LNSR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

12.730

1 Day change

3.50%

52 Week Range

17.310

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

Not a good buy right now. LNSR is sitting in a neutral technical zone with no Intellectia buy signals, while hedge funds are aggressively selling. Options positioning is mildly bullish (more calls than puts), but activity is thin and implied volatility is extremely elevated—more consistent with uncertainty than a clean bullish edge. For an impatient trader who wants an immediate, high-conviction entry, the current setup does not offer a strong enough “buy-now” signal.

Technical Analysis

**Trend/Setup:** Price at 12.3 with neutral momentum. RSI(6)=53.3 (no edge), MACD histogram >0 but contracting (bullish momentum fading), and moving averages converging (compression/indecision rather than trend). **Key levels:** Pivot 12.319 is essentially current price (chop zone). Near-term resistance: 12.717 (R1) then 12.962 (R2). Support: 11.922 (S1) then 11.677 (S2). This is a range trade area; buying here is not “cheap” vs support and not a breakout vs resistance. **Pattern odds (from similar candlesticks):** Weak forward expectancy: ~0.47% next day, 0.67% next week, 0.73% next month—suggesting limited immediate upside edge. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

**Sentiment read:** OI put/call ratio at 0.5 is call-leaning (moderately bullish positioning). Volume put/call at 0.0 indicates today’s traded contracts were calls only, but total volume is just 12—too small to treat as strong conviction. **Volatility:** 30D IV ~147.5% vs historical vol ~44.1% (very elevated), with IV percentile 76 and IV rank ~58.7—market is pricing large moves (often event/earnings anticipation). Elevated IV can coincide with speculative call buying, but it also raises the bar for “right now” directional buys because price must move quickly to justify it.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Options open interest skew favors calls (OI put/call 0.5), implying more bullish positioning than bearish.
- Q3 2025 revenue grew +5.74% YoY, showing continued top-line expansion.
- Upcoming earnings (2026-02-26 pre-market) can serve as an event catalyst if results/guide surprise positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Hedge Funds are Selling, with selling amount up ~303.64% over the last quarter (clear institutional headwind).
- No news catalysts in the last week to spark momentum.
- Gross margin down to 40.56% (down ~9% YoY), signaling profitability pressure.
- Extremely high implied volatility suggests uncertainty; without a clear trend, risk of whipsaw is elevated.
- Price is near the pivot in a compression zone; no breakout confirmation and not at support.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue increased to $14.316M (+5.74% YoY). Net income improved to -$3.713M (147.20% YoY improvement, still a loss). EPS improved to -0.31 (up 138.46% YoY, still negative). Gross margin fell to 40.56% (down ~9% YoY), which is the main quality concern despite narrowing losses.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent trend summary cannot be confirmed. Wall Street pros/cons view from available data: **Pros:** revenue growth and improving (less negative) earnings. **Cons:** margin compression and ongoing losses; plus the observed hedge fund selling suggests some professional skepticism despite improving YoY figures.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LNSR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LNSR is 15 USD with a low forecast of 15 USD and a high forecast of 15 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 12.300

Low

Averages

High

Current: 12.300

Low

Averages

High

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Strong Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$16 → $15

AI Analysis

2025-03-24

Reason

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Price Target

$16 → $15

AI Analysis

2025-03-24

Downgrades

Strong Buy

Hold

Reason

Lake Street analyst Frank Takkinen downgraded Lensar (LNSR) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $15, down from $16, after Alcon (ALC) announced the acquisition of Lensar for $14.00 per share in cash, with an additional contingent value right of up to $2.75 per share tied to procedure-based milestones. The firm expects the acquisition to close as is, given the "reasonable valuation," but if a higher bid came in it would expect it would need to be $18-plus per share.

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Strong Buy

Maintains

$12 → $16

2025-02-28

Reason

Lake Street

Frank Takkinen

Price Target

$12 → $16

2025-02-28

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

LNSR Should I Buy

LNSR Should I Buy

Should You Buy LENSAR Inc (LNSR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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