To predict the stock price of Lennar Corporation (LEN) for the next trading week, we analyze both fundamental and technical factors.
Analyst Sentiment: Goldman Sachs analyst Susan Maklari maintained a Neutral rating on LEN but lowered the price target to $141 from $150, citing a challenging housing market and increased mortgage rates. This suggests cautious optimism but with reduced expectations.
Market Conditions: The housing market faces headwinds, including higher mortgage rates and reduced demand, which could impact LEN's profitability. However, improving affordability and seasonal factors might boost spring activity.
Valuation: LEN's current price is $125.19, with a forward P/E ratio of 9.83, slightly above its industry average. This indicates moderate valuation levels.
Price Trends: LEN's stock price has been under pressure, closing at $125.19 on March 7, 2025. The price is near its 20-day SMA of $122.06, indicating potential support.
Technical Indicators:
Fibonacci Levels: The Fibonacci support level is at $117.81, while resistance is at $128.51.
Recent news indicates bearish activity, with heavy put volume and a Put/Call Ratio of 2.87 ahead of earnings. This suggests investor concern about short-term performance.
Considering the mixed technical indicators and bearish news sentiment, LEN's stock is expected to face short-term pressure. The price may stabilize around $123 next week.
Sell LEN in the next trading week due to bearish technical indicators and negative news sentiment.
The price of LEN is predicted to go up -4.61%, based on the high correlation periods with PHM. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 98%.
LEN
PHM
The US housing market is undersupplied. This supply/demand imbalance will take years to address and should support pricing power for homebuilders.
Demand for entry-level housing should increase as the large millennial generation forms households. Lennar is well positioned to capitalize on this growing market.
Lennar's multifamily business is an underappreciated asset.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-03-11
Price Target
$152 → $141
Upside
+16.11%
Seaport Global
2025-03-06
Price Target
$154
Upside
+22.09%
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-02-11
Price Target
$170 → $152
Upside
+21.68%