Should I Buy LEDS? LEDS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy SemiLEDs Corp (LEDS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

1.590

1 Day change

0.31%

52 Week Range

3.370

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Not a good buy right now: the trend is bearish (moving averages stacked bearishly and MACD momentum worsening), and there are no Intellectia buy signals to justify an impatient entry.
Price is only slightly above near-term support (S1 1.575 vs pre-market 1.60), so downside risk to S2 (1.459) is meaningful if support breaks.
Pattern-based expectation also leans negative (projected -1.81% next day, -2.61% next week).

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish; SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 indicates sustained downside structure.
Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.0303 (below 0) and negatively expanding = bearish momentum strengthening.
RSI(6): 29.688 (near oversold). This can precede bounces, but without confirmation it’s not a reliable “buy now” trigger.
Key levels: Pre-market 1.60 is below Pivot 1.762 (bearish positioning). Support at S1 1.575 then S2 1.459; resistance at R1 1.95 and R2 2.065.
Near-term bias: Unless price reclaims the pivot (1.762) with improving MACD, odds favor more chop-to-down rather than a clean reversal.

Positive Catalysts

- 2026/Q1 revenue surged +103.73% YoY, showing top-line recovery.
- Net loss narrowed YoY (Net Income improved 35.65% YoY) and EPS improved 12.50% YoY.
- RSI near oversold could support a short-lived technical bounce if buyers step in at/above S1.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Gross margin collapsed to 0.7% in 2026/Q1 (down -96.61% YoY), a major quality-of-earnings red flag.
- No recent news catalysts in the past week to drive momentum.
- Hedge fund and insider activity: Neutral (no meaningful supportive flow signals).
- Technicals are decisively bearish (MA stack + worsening MACD), increasing the chance support breaks.
- Pattern-based projection suggests continued mild downside over 1D/1W/1M horizons.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q1.
Revenue: 2,569,000 (+103.73% YoY) — strong growth off a low base.
Net Income: -742,000 (improved 35.65% YoY) — still loss-making but narrowing.
EPS: -0.09 (improved 12.50% YoY).
Gross Margin: 0.7% (down -96.61% YoY) — sharply weaker profitability, undermining the benefit of revenue growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data provided.
Wall Street pros/cons view cannot be reliably assessed from the current dataset due to missing coverage/targets.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LEDS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LEDS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold