Should I Buy KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. KREF has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
KREF stock price ended at $7.96 on Friday, after rising 1.14%
The KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc stock price increased by 1.14% on the last trading day (09 Jan 2026), rising from 7.93 to 7.96. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.23% , ranging from a day low of $7.845 to a day high of 8.02. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -7.12% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -140.73K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 800.61K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 6.36M.
KREF Technical Signals
KREF(KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-12-26. The total price change during this trend is -6.57%. Recently, the price has increased while volume droped, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of KREF over the last 5 trading days is 8.22M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
KREF Moving Average Analysis
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, January 10, 2026, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $8.77, and $9.18. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $7.44, and $7.03. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
KREF Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc(KREF) as of 10 Dec 2025 is %, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 8.69 to 8.83.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
KREF Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $4.91 and $9.90.
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -17.89%
In Jan 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.39. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.03 and a high of $9.08.
Feb 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -30.49%
In Feb 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.26. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.91 and a high of $6.79.
Mar 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.90%
In Mar 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.02. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.73 and a high of $9.43.
Apr 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -23.95%
In Apr 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.84. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.14 and a high of $7.18.
May 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.00%
In May 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.74. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.18 and a high of $9.04.
Jun 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.71%
In Jun 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.58. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.55 and a high of $9.00.
Jul 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -30.49%
In Jul 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.26. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.74 and a high of $7.76.
Aug 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -17.47%
In Aug 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.43. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.87 and a high of $9.21.
Sep 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -22.73%
In Sep 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.95. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.01 and a high of $6.96.
Oct 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.71%
In Oct 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.58. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.84 and a high of $9.90.
Nov 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.71%
In Nov 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.58. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.04 and a high of $9.31.
Dec 2026: KREF Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.64%
In Dec 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.68. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.10 and a high of $8.94.
KREF Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc(KREF), our algorithm predicts KREF's 1-month price at $8.82, with an -4.02%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.48%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a -4.02% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with BRSP.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.48%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
KREF
No data
BRSP
Down: -4.02%Similarity: 95.48%
KREF Seasonality Analysis
Based on KREF's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in January is41.18%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in KREF. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at63.64%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while March has the lowest probability (20.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Should I buy KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. KREF has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while March has the lowest probability (20.00%).
How has KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
KREF's stock price fell by -25.18% in 2024,decreased by -17.61% in 2025, and went down by 3.86%in 2026.
Which bullish technical signals does KREF have?
Bullish technical signals of KREF include: CCI_20_0.015 < -100, Price crosses above 5-day SMA.
Which bearish technical signals does KREF have?
Bearish technical signals of KREF include: AO_5_34 < 0, MOM_10 < 0, MACD_12_26_9 < 0, 20-day SMA crosses below 60-day SMA.
Is KREF a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
KREF has 2 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for KREF is Sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of KREF.
What is the trend of KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF)'s moving average?
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of January 10 2026, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for KREF stock next month?
The price prediction chart for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF.N) stock, as of June 15 2025, forecasts a -4.02% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with BRSP stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.48%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF) Stock?
In Dec 2026, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $7.68. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.10 and a high of $8.94.
What is price prediction 2030 for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF) Stock?
In Dec 2030, KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $3.53. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $3.43 and a high of $3.66.