KREF Stock Price Prediction

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc

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9.250

+0.150(+1.650%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. KREF has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

KREF stock price ended at $9.25 on Friday, after rising 1.65%

The KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc stock price increased by 1.65% on the last trading day (02 May 2025), rising from 9.21 to 9.1. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.65% , ranging from a day low of $9.07 to a day high of 9.31. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.22% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -73.38K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 538.62K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 4.92M.

KREF Technical Signals

KREF(KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-25. The total price change during this trend is +2.48%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of KREF over the last 5 trading days is 6.43M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

KREF Moving Average Analysis

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, May 2, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $9.660300006666667, and $9.985000006666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $8.609700006666667, and $8.285000006666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

KREF Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc(KREF) as of 30 Apr 2025 is 16.92%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 9.18 to 9.25. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.02

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.793

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.298

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

95.276

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 20-day SMA

Bearish

KREF Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc(KREF), our algorithm predicts KREF's 1-month price at $9.67, with an 8.89%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.19%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 8.89% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CHMI.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.19%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

KREF

Future prediction

Up: 8.89%

CHMI

Up: 8.89%Similarity: 99.19%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

CHMI.N

99.19%

+8.89%

MITT.N

99.09%

+5.07%

TG.N

99.06%

+5.84%

GCTK.O

98.97%

+20.00%

SLN.O

98.95%

-20.65%

PARR.N

98.94%

+13.85%

TITN.O

98.83%

+17.27%

INNV.O

98.82%

+29.47%

SSTK.N

98.76%

-2.91%

NXL.O

98.73%

+43.43%

KREF Seasonality Analysis

Based on KREF's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is75.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in KREF. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at87.50%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (87.50%), while March has the lowest probability (25.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.