Should I Buy KNX? KNX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (KNX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

59.160

1 Day change

-1.66%

52 Week Range

61.280

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is pressing near first resistance (~60.29) with RSI(6) ~71.8 (near overbought), which raises near-term pullback risk.
The setup is broadly bullish (trend + MACD), but without a proprietary “strong buy” signal today, the risk/reward at current level looks only average.
Insider activity is a clear negative near-term signal: insiders are selling, with selling up ~946.7% over the last month.
Options positioning leans modestly bullish (put/call < 1), but not extreme—more consistent with “stable-to-slightly-bullish” than a must-buy dip.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/MAs: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates the intermediate trend is up.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.0958 and expanding supports continuing upside momentum.
Overbought risk: RSI_6 = 71.792 suggests the move is getting stretched (higher risk of short-term mean reversion).
Levels: Pivot 57.707; immediate resistance R1 60.286 (price ~60.15-60.16 sitting just below), next resistance R2 61.879; support S1 55.129.
Pattern-based outlook provided: model implies modest next-day upside odds, but weak 1-month drift (-3.19%), reinforcing that chasing here is less attractive.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Put/Call ratios (<1) indicate more call interest and call volume than puts (mild bullish bias).
Activity: Today’s option volume 1488, about 71.64% of the 30-day average (not a spike; sentiment is not “crowded”).
Volatility: IV(30d) ~35.62 vs HV ~36.1 (roughly in line); IV rank 7.39 / IV percentile 32.67 suggests options are not particularly expensive vs recent history.
Net read: Options market signals modest bullish to neutral, not an aggressive “risk-on” bet.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Technical trend is constructive (bullish moving average stack + positive MACD).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insiders are selling, and selling volume has increased sharply (+946.67% last month) — often a near-term headwind.
- Price is near R1 resistance (~60.29) with short-term RSI near overbought, increasing the odds of a pullback that an impatient buyer would feel quickly.
- Latest reported quarter shows earnings deterioration into a loss, which can cap multiple expansion until margins recover.
- Provided pattern stats show a negative 1-month expectation (-3.19%), arguing against chasing this level for a quick win.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $1.856B, down -0.43% YoY (flat-to-down top line).
Profitability: Net income -$6.8M (down -109.78% YoY) — moved into a loss.
EPS: -0.04, down -109.30% YoY.
Gross margin: 54.83%, down -0.09% YoY (roughly stable margin rate, but overall earnings weakened meaningfully).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent direction: Price targets were mostly raised into early 2026, but after Q4 results there was a mixed reaction (some PT cuts alongside maintained Buy/Overweight ratings).
Upgrades/raises: Benchmark raised PT to 65 (Buy); BofA raised to 64 (Buy); Citi raised to 64 (Buy); Wells Fargo raised to 60 (Overweight); Susquehanna raised to 60 (Neutral).
Post-earnings nuance: Stifel/Stephens trimmed PTs but kept Buy/Overweight, framing “buy on weakness.” UBS remains Neutral with a lower PT (54) citing limited visibility and muted Q1 guidance.
Wall Street pros: turning cycle/tighter capacity + KNX favored among public carriers.
Wall Street cons: near-term margin/EPS visibility still cloudy; recovery timing uncertain, especially near-term seasonality and Q1 setup.
Politicians/influential figures: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days (no signal from that channel).

13 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast KNX stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KNX is 58.23 USD with a low forecast of 47 USD and a high forecast of 70 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

10 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 60.160

Low

Averages

58.23

High

Current: 60.160

Low

Averages

58.23

High

Christopher Kuhn

NULL -> Buy

maintain

$60 -> $65

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

Christopher Kuhn

Price Target

$60 -> $65

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

maintain

NULL -> Buy

Reason

Benchmark analyst Christopher Kuhn raised the firm's price target on Knight-Swift to $65 from $60 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares on improved truckload metrics in 2026 after the company reported Q4 results.

Susquehanna

Neutral

maintain

$58 -> $60

2026-01-22

Reason

Susquehanna

Price Target

$58 -> $60

2026-01-22

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Susquehanna raised the firm's price target on Knight-Swift to $60 from $58 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm the company's message on signs of life in TL into January rhymes with competitor's comments, and higher-frequency data remains supportive. They believe the cycle is turning, but remain patient toward how quickly it shows up in TL margins and EPS.

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KNX Should I Buy

KNX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (KNX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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