Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: upside appears capped by the buyout-arbitrage dynamic while near-term technicals and pattern-based probabilities lean slightly bearish.
Best stance is HOLD/avoid new entry unless you are specifically running a merger-arb strategy and are comfortable with a modest spread to a potential improved offer.
With no fresh catalysts or trading signals today, risk/reward for a quick upside move is not attractive at the current pre-market price (~10.61).
Technical Analysis
Trend/omentum: Bearish momentum building—MACD histogram is negative (-0.131) and expanding lower, typically consistent with continued downside pressure.
RSI: RSI(6) ~30.9, near oversold territory (not a clean buy signal here, but suggests selling pressure has been heavy).
Moving averages: Converging MAs indicate indecision/transition, not a strong uptrend confirmation.
Levels: Provided pivot/support is ~9.00 (S1 ~8.39). The listed resistances (R1 ~9.61, R2 ~9.99) sit below the current pre-market price, implying either (1) the stock has already pushed through prior resistance or (2) those levels are stale—either way, current price is extended versus those reference points.
Short-horizon pattern read: Similar-pattern stats imply a negative drift (60% chance of ~-0.97% next day, ~-2.57% next week), which argues against chasing at the open.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/lean: Open interest is call-heavy (Call OI 2383 vs Put OI 332; OI put/call 0.14), which is generally bullish/constructive sentiment.
Activity: No options volume reported today (0 calls / 0 puts), so the sentiment signal is based on existing positioning rather than fresh money.
Volatility: 30D IV ~41.71 vs historical vol ~28.75 (IV > HV), suggesting options are pricing elevated event/uncertainty premium; IV percentile ~48.6 (mid-range), IV rank ~15.5 (low-to-moderate vs its own range).
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
12
Positive Catalysts
showed strong top-line growth (+26.97% YoY).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No news/catalysts in the last week: lack of fresh triggers reduces odds of an immediate upside move.
Deal-arb cap on upside: Alliance Global downgraded to Neutral citing limited upside after the buyout offer; that “ceiling” can suppress momentum.
Profitability trend: 2025/Q3 net income and EPS fell sharply YoY, a key fundamental negative even with revenue growth.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 96,867,000 (+26.97% YoY), a clear growth positive.
Net income: 13,166,000 (-345.09% YoY) and EPS 0.37 (-346.67% YoY), indicating a major deterioration in bottom-line performance (potentially driven by non-recurring items and/or cost/financing impacts).
Gross margin: 33.24 (up 40.97% YoY), improving at the gross level despite weaker net results—mixed quality of earnings signal.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent change: 2025-12-08 Alliance Global downgraded KNOP to Neutral from Buy.
Rationale: Limited upside given the buyout offer; the unit price was already trading >7% above the then-current offer.
Street pros view (bull case): Potential for a higher bid (analyst floated possible move toward ~$12/unit) and deal support can underpin price.
Street cons view (bear case): Upside capped/limited vs current price, making risk/reward unattractive for a fresh buy; without new catalysts, the stock may drift or mean-revert.
Wall Street analysts forecast KNOP stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KNOP is 10 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KNOP stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KNOP is 10 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 10.380
Low
10
Averages
10
High
10
Current: 10.380
Low
10
Averages
10
High
10
Alliance Global
Buy -> Neutral
downgrade
$12
AI Analysis
2025-12-08
Reason
Alliance Global
Price Target
$12
AI Analysis
2025-12-08
downgrade
Buy -> Neutral
Reason
Alliance Global downgraded Knot Offshore Partners to Neutral from Buy. The firm sees limited upside potential in the shares following the buyout offer. However, the analyst believes the offer could move up into the $12 per unit range. However, there is not enough upside potential to warrant a Buy rating given that the unit price is already more than 7% above the current buyout offer, As previously reported,
Fearnley
Fredrik Dybwad
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$10
2025-11-03
Reason
Fearnley
Fredrik Dybwad
Price Target
$10
2025-11-03
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Fearnley analyst Fredrik Dybwad downgraded Knot Offshore Partners to Hold from Buy with a $10 price target after the company received a takeover proposal from Knutsen NYK Offshore Tankers.
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