Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. KMT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
KMT stock price ended at $19.44 on Friday, after losing-1.27%
The Kennametal Inc stock price decreased by -1.27% on the last trading day (Friday Apr 2025), dropping from 19.48 to 19.44. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.08% , ranging from a day low of $19.27 to a day high of 19.67. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 6.11% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -196.24K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 843.89K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 16.38M.
KMT Technical Signals
KMT(Kennametal Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-23. The total price change during this trend is +1.94%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of KMT over the last 5 trading days is 17.87M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a outlook in the mid-term.
KMT Moving Average Analysis
Kennametal Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Monday, April 28, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $20.11, and $20.82. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $17.82, and $17.12. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
KMT Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Kennametal Inc(KMT) as of is %, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from to . The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.12
Bullish
Moving Average
200-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-1.28
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.58
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
97.33
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-16.41
Bearish
KMT Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Kennametal Inc(KMT), our algorithm predicts KMT's 1-month price at $0, with an 0%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 0%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Kennametal Inc (KMT.N) stock, as of Invalid Date , forecasts a % change over the next month, based on its high correlation with stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is %. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
KMT
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
No Data
KMT Seasonality Analysis
Based on KMT's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in April is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in KMT. In contrast,offers the highest probability of positive returns at45.45%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Kennametal Inc (KMT.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while March has the lowest probability (27.27%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Kennametal Inc. (KMT)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Kennametal Inc (KMT.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. KMT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Kennametal Inc (KMT.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Kennametal Inc (KMT.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while March has the lowest probability (27.27%).
How has Kennametal Inc. (KMT)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
KMT's stock price rose by 9.93% in 2023,decreased by -3.61% in 2024, and went down by 18.04% in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does KMT have?
Bullish technical signals of KMT include: MOM_10 > 0, 200-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA.
Is KMT a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
KMT has 2 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for KMT is Sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of KMT.
What is the trend of Kennametal Inc (KMT)'s moving average?
Kennametal Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of April 28 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for KMT stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Kennametal Inc (KMT.N) stock, as of Invalid Date, forecasts a % change over the next month, based on its high correlation with stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is %. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for KMT Stock?
The price prediction for KMT stock in 2025 is expected to range between **$16 and $20**, with a likely target of **$18**. This forecast is based on the stock's current oversold condition, indicated by an RSI of 38, and the recent downward revisions in analyst price targets. Analysts at Morgan Stanley and Barclays have lowered their targets, reflecting weaker demand and earnings challenges.
What is price prediction 2030 for KMT Stock?
### **Price Prediction for Kennametal (KMT) Stock by 2030**
Based on current trends and analysis, here is a concise price prediction for Kennametal (KMT) stock by 2030:
1. **Bullish Scenario**: KMT stock could reach **$30** by 2030 if the company successfully implements cost-cutting measures, demand rebounds, and the global industrial market stabilizes.
2. **Base Scenario**: A moderate price target of **$25** is realistic, considering the company's efforts to improve profitability and stabilize operations.
3. **Bearish Scenario**: If challenges persist, the stock may trade around **$20**, reflecting ongoing struggles in demand and profitability.
**Reasons**:
- The stock is currently undervalued with an RSI below 50, indicating potential oversold conditions.
- Recent insider buying by the CEO signals confidence, but weak earnings and lowered analyst targets suggest caution.
- Long-term recovery depends on cost-cutting success and market demand improvement.
{RATING:symbol=KMT, type=0}