KGEI Valuation

Kolibri Global Energy Inc

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5.450

-0.03(-0.547%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

KGEI Relative Valuation

KGEI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, KGEI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 2.66 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 3.69. The fair price of Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI) is between 0.73 to 4.81 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 5.41 USD , Kolibri Global Energy Inc is Overvalued By 12.5%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

0.73-4.81

Current Price：5.41

12.5%

Overvalued

9.79

Trailing

Forward

4.08

EV/EBITDA

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.08. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 2.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.76, Undervalued between -0.76 and 0.81, Fairly Valued between 3.96 and 0.81, Overvalued between 3.96 and 5.53, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.53. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.08 falls within the Overvalued range.

0.00

EV/EBIT

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) has a current EV/EBIT of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.58. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -7.74, Undervalued between -7.74 and -0.08, Fairly Valued between 15.25 and -0.08, Overvalued between 15.25 and 22.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 22.91. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.66

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) has a current PS of 2.66. The 5-year average PS is 1.48. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.03, Undervalued between -1.03 and 0.22, Fairly Valued between 2.74 and 0.22, Overvalued between 2.74 and 3.99, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.99. The current Forward PS of 2.66 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.65

P/OCF

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) has a current P/OCF of 3.65. The 5-year average P/OCF is 1.06. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.12, Undervalued between -2.12 and -0.53, Fairly Valued between 2.65 and -0.53, Overvalued between 2.65 and 4.24, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.24. The current Forward P/OCF of 3.65 falls within the Overvalued range.

-83.60

P/FCF

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) has a current P/FCF of -83.60. The 5-year average P/FCF is -57.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1381.88, Undervalued between -1381.88 and -719.51, Fairly Valued between 605.22 and -719.51, Overvalued between 605.22 and 1267.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 1267.59. The current Forward P/FCF of -83.60 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.00. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.88 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 13.69% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.66, the current P/B ratio is about 51.04% higher. Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -1.01%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -6.00%, the current FCF yield is approximately -83.19% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.60% , the current FCF yield is about -115.30% lower.

0.98

P/B

Median3y

0.88

Median5y

0.66

-1.01

FCF Yield

Median3y

-6.00

Median5y

6.60

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for KGEI's competitors is 0.78, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Kolibri Global Energy Inc Corp (KGEI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.66, which is 241.29% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -20.14%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

KGEI.O

Kolibri Global Energy Inc

Primeenergy Resources Corp

Houston American Energy Corp

Berry Corporation (Bry)

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of KGEI increased by 78.69% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 4.80 to 10.13.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -12.03%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of KGEI in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-20.14%

13.92M → 11.11M

Revenue Growth

-12.03%

29.18 → 25.67

Margin Expansion

110.86%

4.80 → 10.13

P/E Change

78.69%