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The earnings call presented mixed signals. Strong growth in hyperscaler-related revenue and a robust share repurchase program are positives. However, the Q&A revealed concerns about extended sales cycles, market dynamics, and a revision in free cash flow guidance, which offset some positives. The lack of clear guidance due to an ongoing review adds uncertainty. The overall sentiment is neutral, as positive long-term growth drivers are balanced by short-term challenges and uncertainties.
Revenue $3.9 billion, up 3% year-over-year on a reported basis and unchanged in constant currency. The growth was driven by strong demand for modernization services, although longer sales cycles in Strategic Markets and U.K. operations impacted expectations.
Kyndryl Consult Revenue Grew 20% year-over-year in constant currency, now representing 25% of total revenue. Growth was attributed to expanding higher-value services, though performance was below expectations due to longer sales cycles.
Adjusted EBITDA $696 million, decreased 1% year-over-year. The decline was due to depreciation and amortization being a larger percentage of costs in the prior year.
Adjusted Pretax Income $168 million, grew 5% year-over-year. Growth reflects benefits from the three-A's initiative, offset by investments in Kyndryl Consult.
Hyperscaler-related Revenue $500 million in the third quarter, a 58% increase year-over-year. Growth was driven by strong execution and demand for hyperscaler alliances.
Free Cash Flow $217 million in the third quarter. Working capital was a source of cash, and net CapEx was $210 million, consistent with expectations.
Three-A's Initiative Savings Cumulative annualized profit savings from focus accounts reached $975 million. Hyperscaler-related revenue and automation through Kyndryl Bridge contributed to margin expansion.
Share Repurchases 3.7 million shares repurchased in the quarter, representing 1.6% of outstanding shares, at a cost of $100 million. Since inception, 5% of outstanding shares have been repurchased.
Cash Balance $1.35 billion as of December 31, 2025. The company remains investment grade with well-laddered debt maturities.
Agentic AI Framework: Kyndryl is expanding its capabilities with a focus on AI, particularly through its Agentic AI Framework, which is resonating strongly with customers.
AI Innovation Labs: Investments are being made in AI innovation labs and related capabilities to deliver emerging technologies to customers at scale.
Hyperscaler Alliances: Revenue from hyperscaler-related activities is expected to reach nearly $2 billion by the end of fiscal 2026, up from essentially zero at the time of the spin-off.
Private Cloud Expansion: Kyndryl is expanding its presence in private cloud, driven by demand for AI, data sovereignty, and security requirements.
Three-A's Initiatives: These initiatives, including alliances, advanced delivery, and accounts, have become core to operational discipline, contributing to $950 million in annual savings.
Labor Cost Adjustments: Higher labor costs due to lower-than-expected employee attrition are being addressed to improve operational efficiency.
IBM Partnership Evolution: The partnership with IBM has evolved, reducing annualized spend from $4 billion to $2 billion, impacting revenue growth but improving profitability.
Focus Accounts Initiative: Efforts to address low-margin focus accounts have led to significant profitability improvements.
Longer Sales Cycles: The accelerating pace of new AI capabilities and regulatory uncertainties, particularly on data sovereignty, have made long-term agreements more complex, leading to longer sales cycles. This has impacted revenue growth and delayed the realization of investments in Kyndryl Consult.
Evolving Partnership with IBM: Changes in customer consumption models for IBM's innovation have reduced the size of signings and revenue over time. This has resulted in a 3.5-point adverse effect on revenue growth and a significant reduction in the annualized run rate of spend with IBM from $4 billion to $2 billion.
Higher Labor Costs: An unanticipated decline in employee attrition has led to higher labor costs in the near term, impacting profitability.
Underperformance in Strategic Markets and U.K. Operations: Revenue variances were concentrated in Strategic Markets and U.K. operations, which have underperformed expectations.
Delayed Contributions from Investments: Investments in Kyndryl Consult have taken longer than expected to contribute to the top line, further impacting revenue and earnings.
Regulatory and Data Sovereignty Challenges: Regulatory uncertainties, particularly around data sovereignty, have added complexity to long-term agreements, affecting sales cycles and customer decision-making.
Internal Control and Cash Management Review: The company is under review by the SEC for cash management practices and related disclosures, which could pose reputational risks and operational distractions.
Revenue Expectations: Kyndryl expects to achieve nearly $2 billion in hyperscaler-related revenue by the end of fiscal 2026, exceeding the initial target of $1.8 billion. The company also anticipates mid-single-digit growth as it exits fiscal 2028.
Margin Projections: Kyndryl aims to achieve more than $1.2 billion in adjusted pretax income in fiscal 2028, with a target to convert this into over $1 billion in adjusted free cash flow. The adjusted EBITDA margin for fiscal 2026 is estimated to be approximately 17.5%.
Capital Expenditures: Net capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 are expected to align with the quarterly run rate, with $210 million reported in the third quarter.
Market Trends and Business Segment Performance: The company is observing longer sales cycles due to complexities in AI capabilities and regulatory uncertainties, as well as extended timelines for large enterprise ERP transitions to cloud solutions. Kyndryl Consult, a key growth driver, grew 20% year-over-year in constant currency but underperformed expectations in the third quarter. The company is expanding its presence in private cloud and AI-driven solutions to meet increasing demand.
Strategic Plans: Kyndryl plans to continue investing in AI innovation labs, private cloud capabilities, and its Agentic AI Framework to enhance service delivery and efficiency. The company is also leveraging its Kyndryl Bridge operating platform to drive automation and cost savings. Additionally, it is focusing on modernizing IT infrastructure for clients, as evidenced by a recent 5-year contract extension with Hertz.
Share Repurchase Program: Under the share repurchase authorization announced in late 2024, Kyndryl bought back 3.7 million shares of its common stock in the quarter, representing 1.6% of its outstanding shares at a cost of $100 million. Since the inception of the program, the company has repurchased 5% of its outstanding shares. Approximately $350 million capacity remains available under the authorized program.
The earnings call presented mixed signals. Strong growth in hyperscaler-related revenue and a robust share repurchase program are positives. However, the Q&A revealed concerns about extended sales cycles, market dynamics, and a revision in free cash flow guidance, which offset some positives. The lack of clear guidance due to an ongoing review adds uncertainty. The overall sentiment is neutral, as positive long-term growth drivers are balanced by short-term challenges and uncertainties.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant growth in Kyndryl Consult revenues and hyperscaler-related revenues. Adjusted EBITDA and pretax income have increased substantially, indicating operational efficiency. The company is investing in AI and acquisitions, enhancing its competitive position. Shareholder returns through repurchases and optimistic guidance for the second half further support a positive outlook. Despite some uncertainties in management's responses, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase.
The earnings call reveals strong growth in Kyndryl Consult and Hyperscaler-related revenue, improved EBITDA margins, and a solid increase in signings. Despite a Q1 cash outflow, the company expects significant free cash flow for the fiscal year. The Q&A highlights confidence in growth and margin expansion, with positive catalysts like AI partnerships. Stock buybacks indicate shareholder returns. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, suggesting a likely stock price increase in the short term.
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