JEF Should I Buy
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Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has positive analyst ratings and potential growth catalysts, the technical indicators and financial performance suggest a cautious approach. The stock's pre-market price is below key support levels, and there are no strong proprietary trading signals to suggest immediate action.
The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.571), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 23.83, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory but not yet signaling a reversal. The moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near the S1 support level (54.391), with resistance levels far above at 57.878 and 61.366, indicating limited immediate upside.
Analysts have raised price targets, with Oppenheimer setting a $97 target and UBS setting a $76 target, citing strong growth potential and sector fundamentals.
The rebound in mergers and underwriting activity is expected to act as a catalyst for growth.
Gross margin increased by 3.73% YoY, showing operational efficiency.
Net income dropped by 7.59% YoY, and EPS decreased by 8.60%, indicating weaker profitability.
The MACD and RSI suggest bearish momentum, and the stock is trading near support levels.
Options data shows bearish sentiment with a high put-call ratio.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 2.92% YoY to $2.82 billion, but net income dropped by 7.59% YoY to $190.88 million. EPS also declined by 8.60% YoY to $0.85, reflecting weaker profitability despite an improved gross margin of 64.26%.
Analysts are generally positive on JEF, with upgrades from Oppenheimer, UBS, and Morgan Stanley. Price targets range from $76 to $97, with expectations of growth driven by mergers, underwriting activity, and sector fundamentals.
