JD Valuation

JD.Com Inc

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31.070

+0.68(2.238%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

JD Relative Valuation

JD's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, JD is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

JD.Com Inc (JD) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 11.36 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 24.56. The fair price of JD.Com Inc (JD) is between 28.48 to 114.21 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

28.48-114.21

Current Price：30.39

Fair

11.67

Trailing

Forward

5.69

EV/EBITDA

JD.Com Inc. (JD) has a current EV/EBITDA of 5.69. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 15.72. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.64, Undervalued between -9.64 and 3.04, Fairly Valued between 28.40 and 3.04, Overvalued between 28.40 and 41.08, and Strongly Overvalued above 41.08. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 5.69 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

9.56

EV/EBIT

JD.Com Inc. (JD) has a current EV/EBIT of 9.56. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 35.35. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -53.74, Undervalued between -53.74 and -9.19, Fairly Valued between 79.90 and -9.19, Overvalued between 79.90 and 124.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 124.45. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 9.56 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.23

JD.Com Inc. (JD) has a current PS of 0.23. The 5-year average PS is 0.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.02, Undervalued between 0.02 and 0.26, Fairly Valued between 0.75 and 0.26, Overvalued between 0.75 and 0.99, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.99. The current Forward PS of 0.23 falls within the Undervalued range.

4.79

P/OCF

JD.Com Inc. (JD) has a current P/OCF of 4.79. The 5-year average P/OCF is 13.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.70, Undervalued between -3.70 and 4.98, Fairly Valued between 22.33 and 4.98, Overvalued between 22.33 and 31.01, and Strongly Overvalued above 31.01. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.79 falls within the Undervalued range.

9.27

P/FCF

JD.Com Inc. (JD) has a current P/FCF of 9.27. The 5-year average P/FCF is 23.86. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -7.61, Undervalued between -7.61 and 8.13, Fairly Valued between 39.60 and 8.13, Overvalued between 39.60 and 55.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 55.33. The current Forward P/FCF of 9.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

JD.Com Inc (JD) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.77 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -23.49% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.66, the current P/B ratio is about -49.06% higher. JD.Com Inc (JD) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 2.65%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 9.69%, the current FCF yield is approximately -72.62% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.26% , the current FCF yield is about -63.45% lower.

1.39

P/B

Median3y

1.77

Median5y

2.66

2.65

FCF Yield

Median3y

9.69

Median5y

7.26

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for JD's competitors is 1.87, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. JD.Com Inc Corp (JD) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.23, which is -87.82% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 14.37%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of JD increased by 12.56% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 2.83 to 3.75.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 14.37%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of JD in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

14.37%

36.19B → 41.39B

Revenue Growth

32.51%

2.83 → 3.75

Margin Expansion

-34.32%

13.19 → 8.66

P/E Change

12.56%