JCI Valuation

Johnson Controls International PLC

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105.340

-0.62(-0.585%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

JCI Relative Valuation

JCI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, JCI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 25.06 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 19.27. The fair price of Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) is between 93.92 to 117.51 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

93.92-117.51

Current Price：105.96

Fair

25.06

Trailing

Forward

19.54

EV/EBITDA

Johnson Controls International PLC. (JCI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 19.54. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 13.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.06, Undervalued between 9.06 and 11.42, Fairly Valued between 16.15 and 11.42, Overvalued between 16.15 and 18.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 18.51. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 19.54 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

24.12

EV/EBIT

Johnson Controls International PLC. (JCI) has a current EV/EBIT of 24.12. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 17.36. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 11.26, Undervalued between 11.26 and 14.31, Fairly Valued between 20.42 and 14.31, Overvalued between 20.42 and 23.47, and Strongly Overvalued above 23.47. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 24.12 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

2.88

Johnson Controls International PLC. (JCI) has a current PS of 2.88. The 5-year average PS is 1.77. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.96, Undervalued between 0.96 and 1.37, Fairly Valued between 2.18 and 1.37, Overvalued between 2.18 and 2.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.59. The current Forward PS of 2.88 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

23.31

P/OCF

Johnson Controls International PLC. (JCI) has a current P/OCF of 23.31. The 5-year average P/OCF is 17.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 10.03, Undervalued between 10.03 and 13.73, Fairly Valued between 21.12 and 13.73, Overvalued between 21.12 and 24.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 24.82. The current Forward P/OCF of 23.31 falls within the Overvalued range.

27.72

P/FCF

Johnson Controls International PLC. (JCI) has a current P/FCF of 27.72. The 5-year average P/FCF is 21.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 11.10, Undervalued between 11.10 and 16.25, Fairly Valued between 26.54 and 16.25, Overvalued between 26.54 and 31.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 31.69. The current Forward P/FCF of 27.72 falls within the Overvalued range.

Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 4.38. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.93 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 49.74% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.75, the current P/B ratio is about 59.36% higher. Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.10%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 3.37%, the current FCF yield is approximately 21.69% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 3.69% , the current FCF yield is about 11.21% lower.

4.38

P/B

Median3y

2.93

Median5y

2.75

4.10

FCF Yield

Median3y

3.37

Median5y

3.69

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for JCI's competitors is 3.17, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Johnson Controls International PLC Corp (JCI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.88, which is -9.36% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 2.61%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

JCI.N

Johnson Controls International PLC

Trane Technologies PLC

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of JCI increased by 37.20% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 21.52 to 35.26.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 2.61%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of JCI in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

2.61%

5.90B → 6.05B

Revenue Growth

-29.24%

14.43 → 10.21

Margin Expansion

63.83%

21.52 → 35.26

P/E Change

37.20%