ITRI Should I Buy
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Itron Inc (ITRI) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. The technical indicators are neutral to bearish, options data suggests a cautious sentiment, and insider selling is significantly high. While the company has shown strong improvements in net income and EPS in the last quarter, revenue has declined, and analysts have mixed views on its valuation and growth prospects. Given the lack of strong positive catalysts and the upcoming earnings report, it is advisable to hold off on investing until more clarity is available.
The MACD is negatively expanding at -0.304, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 26.19, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory but not yet signaling a reversal. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its S1 support level of 89.338, with resistance at 99.224.
The company has a structurally dominant position in the North American smart metering market and is positioned for long-term growth in grid modernization. Net income and EPS have shown significant YoY growth in the latest quarter.
Insiders are selling heavily, with a 2434% increase in selling activity. Analysts have mixed ratings, with some suggesting the stock is overvalued by 30%. Revenue has declined YoY, and the stock trend analysis predicts a negative return over the next month. No recent news or congress trading data to support a bullish case.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by 6.72% YoY to $571.66M. However, net income increased by 74.90% YoY to $101.63M, and EPS rose by 75.40% YoY to 2.21. Gross margin improved by 16.31% YoY to 39.73%.
Analysts are divided. Oppenheimer and Needham are bullish with price targets of $135 and $124, citing electrification demand and long-term catalysts. However, Raymond James and JPMorgan have expressed concerns about valuation and near-term growth, with JPMorgan lowering its price target to $113 and Raymond James rating it Underperform.
