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IMO Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
115.660
1 Day change
-1.92%
52 Week Range
139.440
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/12
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Imperial Oil Ltd is not a strong buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 to deploy. The pre-market price is 120.97 and the technical setup is mixed to weak, while proprietary signals show no buy trigger today. Analyst views are split but mostly cautious, with several Sell/Underperform/Market Perform ratings despite recent target increases tied to oil-market assumptions. Options sentiment is mildly bullish but not strong enough to override the technical and ratings picture. Best direct call: hold and wait for a clearer trend or a stronger fundamental catalyst before buying.

Technical Analysis

The short-term trend is not confirming a buy. MACD histogram is -0.793 and still below zero, indicating negative momentum though it is contracting. RSI_6 at 40.188 is neutral-to-weak, not oversold enough to signal an attractive rebound entry. Moving averages are converging, which suggests a range-bound setup rather than a clean uptrend. Price at 120.97 is just above S1 at 118.772 and below pivot at 122.546, so the stock is trading near support but has not reclaimed bullish control.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mildly constructive. The open interest put-call ratio of 0.52 leans bullish, and the option volume put-call ratio of 1.09 is slightly bearish-neutral intraday. Overall, positioning suggests cautious optimism, but not a strong directional bullish consensus.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Oil and refining-related analyst commentary has been more constructive recently, with several firms raising price targets as commodity assumptions improved. The broader backdrop includes elevated oil and refining margins versus prior years, which can support Imperial Oil's earnings power if sustained. The options open interest skew also leans modestly bullish. Similar-pattern stock analysis suggests a positive 1-month tendency of 1.72%.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No news in the recent week means there is no fresh event-driven catalyst. The latest analyst actions still include Sell, Underperform, and Market Perform ratings, showing Wall Street is not broadly bullish. Technical momentum remains weak, with MACD negative and price below pivot. Hedge funds and insiders are both neutral, and there is no congress trading data to support a sentiment boost.

Financial Performance

No latest-quarter financial snapshot was available because the provided financial data returned an error, so I cannot assess the newest quarter's revenue or earnings growth directly. Based on the available context, the investment case is being driven more by commodity assumptions and analyst model updates than by reported quarterly fundamentals.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst trends are mixed but cautious. TD Securities lowered its target to C$156 and kept a Sell rating. Raymond James raised its target to C$126 but kept Underperform. Morgan Stanley raised its target to C$140 and kept Equal Weight, while Scotiabank raised its target to C$130 and kept Sector Perform. BMO was the most bullish on target changes, raising to C$185, but still kept Market Perform. Wall Street pros: improved oil/refining margin assumptions and higher targets. Cons: the majority of ratings remain non-bullish, with explicit Sell/Underperform calls still present.

Wall Street analysts forecast IMO stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast IMO stock price to fall
1 Buy
4 Hold
5 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 114.190
sliders
Low
67.67
Averages
82.5
High
100.78
Current: 114.190
sliders
Low
67.67
Averages
82.5
High
100.78
TD Securities
Menno Hulshof
Sell
downgrade
$157 -> $156
AI Analysis
2026-05-13
Reason
TD Securities
Menno Hulshof
Price Target
$157 -> $156
AI Analysis
2026-05-13
downgrade
Sell
Reason
TD Securities analyst Menno Hulshof lowered the firm's price target on Imperial Oil to C$156 from C$157 and keeps a Sell rating on the shares.
BMO Capital
Market Perform
maintain
$129 -> $185
2026-04-07
Reason
BMO Capital
Price Target
$129 -> $185
2026-04-07
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital raised the firm's price target on Imperial Oil to C$185 from C$129 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares as part of a broader research note adjusting the firm's models with updated Q1 mark-to-market assumptions to reflect the war in Iran as well as ongoing oversupply in the North American natural gas market. Oil and equity markets stand at the edge of the precipice, awaiting President Trump's next move, with an end to the conflict that would allow a resumption of flows through the Strait of Hormuz and see oil prices to settle into a $75-$85 per barrel trading range, while an escalation in hostilities and continued shutdown of the Strait could see oil prices soar to the $150-$200 range, the analyst tells investors in a research note. BMO maintains its view that the economic cost of an escalation and prolonged war are too steep, and the firm believes that the war will wind down by the end of April.
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