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The company's financial performance shows improvement with increased gold sales and revenue, but continued net losses and reliance on securing financing pose risks. The strategic plan outlines ambitious growth targets, but operational and environmental challenges could impact execution. The Q&A revealed uncertainties in management's responses, particularly around asset divestment and oxide ore processing. While there are positive aspects such as strong revenue growth, the risks and uncertainties balance the sentiment, leading to a neutral outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Gold Sales Third quarter gold sales nearly doubled over the prior year period to approximately 9,400 ounces. This increase was driven by higher ounces sold and a higher average realized gold price of $3,412 per ounce.
Revenue from Gold Sales Total revenue from gold sales increased to approximately $32 million for the quarter, driven by higher ounces sold and a higher average realized gold price.
Gross Profit Year-to-date gross profit swung from a loss in 2024 to a gain in 2025, a roughly $24 million increase. This improvement reflects better operational performance and higher gold sales.
Net Loss The company reported a net loss of approximately $42 million or $0.05 per share for the quarter, similar to the prior year period. This reflects the development stage of the company and strategic investments.
Cash Used in Operating Activities Cash used in operating activities was approximately $15 million compared to about $24 million in the prior year. This reduction was due to higher gross profit and higher working capital, partially offset by increased predevelopment, evaluation, and exploration costs.
Cash Balance The company closed the quarter with a cash balance of approximately $103 million, a decrease from the previous quarter due to development spending and continued investment in drilling programs.
Granite Creek Underground: Project ramp-up continues with improved mine grades and tonnages. Groundwater management has improved with new infrastructure, and a permanent disposal solution is on track for Q1 2026.
Archimedes: Construction commenced in September, marking the start of the second underground mine. Start-up activities and decline development are progressing well.
Lone Tree Plant: Refurbishment study is nearly complete, with detailed engineering and procurement of long-lead equipment underway. Construction decision expected in Q2 2026, with commissioning targeted for late 2027.
South Pacific Zone Drilling: Drilling confirms high-grade mineralization with potential for expansion. Feasibility study completion is targeted for Q1 2026.
Nevada-focused mid-tier gold producer: The company is advancing its development plan to establish itself as a mid-tier gold producer in Nevada, leveraging the region's skilled workforce and favorable mining jurisdiction.
Operational Efficiency at Granite Creek: Improved dewatering infrastructure and a reliable pumping system have enhanced water management and operational efficiency.
Gold Sales: Gold sales nearly doubled year-over-year to 9,400 ounces, generating $32 million in revenue for the quarter.
Recapitalization Plan: The company is working on securing a financing package by mid-2026 to support its multi-phase development plan, including a potential new senior debt facility and asset sales.
Sustainability Strategy: Initiatives to refresh mission, vision, and values, and establish a sustainability strategy with ERM are underway to attract and retain talent.
Groundwater Management: Groundwater issues at Granite Creek Underground require ongoing management and infrastructure improvements. A permanent disposal solution is not expected until Q1 2026, posing operational risks.
Financing and Recapitalization: The company is reliant on securing a financing package by mid-2026 to support its development plan. Failure to secure funding could delay or disrupt project timelines.
Permitting Challenges: Permitting activities for various projects, including Archimedes and Granite Creek Open Pit, are ongoing and could face delays, impacting project schedules.
Cost Management: Higher processing fees from increased toll milling of sulfide material have raised cost of sales, which could pressure margins if not managed effectively.
Operational Execution: The company is in a development stage with multiple projects requiring simultaneous execution. Any delays or inefficiencies could impact overall strategic objectives.
Economic and Market Conditions: The company’s valuation and financial performance are sensitive to gold price fluctuations, which could impact revenue and project economics.
Environmental and Technical Risks: Environmental and technical challenges, such as the need for a second water treatment plant at Granite Creek, could increase costs and delay operations.
2025 Consolidated Gold Production Guidance: The company expects to meet its 2025 consolidated guidance of producing 30,000 to 40,000 ounces of gold.
Granite Creek Underground Development: The permanent groundwater disposal solution is on track for completion by the end of Q1 2026. Operations are ramping up with increased access to mineralized material and improved dewatering infrastructure. A feasibility study with an updated mine plan is targeted for completion in late Q1 2026.
Archimedes Underground Development: Construction commenced in September 2025, and underground development is advancing above expectations. A feasibility study is targeted for Q1 2027.
Cove Project Feasibility Study: The feasibility study is progressing as planned with completion expected in Q1 2026. Major permit applications are underway in anticipation of an EIS process.
Mineral Point Project: Engineering work continues to support permitting and define the timing of a pre-feasibility or feasibility study. Opportunities to accelerate drilling and study timing are being assessed, subject to available capital.
Granite Creek Open Pit Development: Technical baseline work continues, with an EIS process anticipated. Geotechnical drilling and field studies have been deferred to next year due to updates to underground operating permits. The project remains a Phase 2 opportunity with potential production contribution towards the end of the decade.
Lone Tree Plant Refurbishment: Early works are on track, and a construction decision is anticipated in Q2 2026. Plant commissioning and first gold pour are targeted for the end of 2027.
Recapitalization Plan: The company aims to secure a financing package by mid-2026 to support Phase 1 and Phase 2 of its development plan, as well as engineering and permitting for Phase 3 (Mineral Point).
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The company's financial performance shows improvement with increased gold sales and revenue, but continued net losses and reliance on securing financing pose risks. The strategic plan outlines ambitious growth targets, but operational and environmental challenges could impact execution. The Q&A revealed uncertainties in management's responses, particularly around asset divestment and oxide ore processing. While there are positive aspects such as strong revenue growth, the risks and uncertainties balance the sentiment, leading to a neutral outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are positive developments like increased gold sales and a strong cash position, concerns remain about the reliance on feasibility studies, debt strategy, and gold price volatility. The Q&A revealed uncertainties in timelines and management's vague responses, tempering optimism. The neutral rating reflects the balance of positive financial metrics and potential risks, with no significant catalysts to drive a strong stock price movement.
The earnings call reveals several concerning aspects: a significant EPS miss, balance sheet constraints, and recapitalization risks. Despite increased revenue and a working capital facility, financing challenges and regulatory delays loom. The Q&A session highlighted management's lack of clarity on economic studies. These factors, coupled with the company's reliance on gold prices, suggest a negative sentiment, likely leading to a stock price decline in the range of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary reveals several concerns: balance sheet constraints, regulatory and financing risks, and a net loss position. The Q&A section further highlights unclear management responses, particularly regarding economic studies, which could erode analyst confidence. Despite some positive aspects, such as increased gold sales and a working capital facility, the overall sentiment is negative due to significant risks and uncertainties, particularly around financing and project timelines.
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