Should I Buy HWBK? HWBK 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Hawthorn Bancshares Inc (HWBK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

35.410

1 Day change

4.15%

52 Week Range

36.490

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/29

Buy HWBK now for a long-term, beginner-friendly portfolio. The stock is showing improving fundamentals (Q4 profit and EPS up sharply YoY) and technicals are turning mildly bullish (MACD positive/expanding) without being overbought (RSI neutral). With no strong institutional/insider selling signals and sentiment supported by recent earnings news, HWBK looks like a reasonable long-term entry at current levels around $32.58 for an investor who doesn’t want to wait for a “perfect” dip.

Technical Analysis

Trend/price context: HWBK closed at $32.58 (flat on the day). Moving averages are converging, which typically signals consolidation rather than a strong trend. Momentum: MACD histogram is +0.0379 and expanding above zero, a mild bullish momentum signal. RSI(6) ~50.5 is neutral, suggesting the stock is not stretched and could move either way. Key levels: Pivot ~32.42. Immediate resistance (R1) ~33.61; support (S1) ~31.23. Current price is just above the pivot, which favors a constructive setup as long as it holds above ~32.42. Pattern-based short-term bias (from provided model): ~+0.24% next day, +2.41% next week, -0.63% next month — consistent with near-term upside potential but overall sideways-to-slightly-choppy action. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

- Latest reported quarter showed strong YoY improvement: Q4 net income up ~34.5% YoY and Q4 profit reported at $6.19M ($0.90/share) vs $4.60M ($0.66/share) last year.
- Revenue growth trend: Q4 revenue reported at $21.16M in the news summary, and the financial snapshot shows revenue up ~5.0% YoY (2025/Q4).
- Technical momentum improving (MACD positive and expanding), supporting positive sentiment after earnings-related news.
- Upcoming earnings on 2026-02-04 (after hours) can act as a near-term catalyst if results confirm the improving trend.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Near-term price action appears more range-bound than strongly trending (converging moving averages; model implies slightly negative 1-month expectation).
- No valuation data provided here, limiting confidence in whether the market price is “cheap” versus fundamentals.
- Small-cap/community bank profile (market cap ~$222M) can mean fewer strong external catalysts and typically slower multi-year compounding versus faster-growth sectors.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. - Revenue: $17.594M, +4.98% YoY (steady growth). - Net income: $6.185M, +34.54% YoY (profitability improving faster than revenue). - EPS: 3.43, +419.70% YoY (very strong YoY improvement per provided snapshot). Overall: The quarter shows clear improvement in earnings power and profitability trends, which supports a long-term buy case.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade trend cannot be confirmed from this dataset. Based on the available information only: Pros would focus on the strong YoY earnings improvement and steady revenue growth; cons would focus on limited visibility into valuation and the stock’s currently consolidating (not strongly trending) price action. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available. Hedge fund and insider trading trends are reported as Neutral (no significant recent trends).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HWBK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HWBK is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 34.000

Low

Averages

High