HUBG Valuation

Hub Group Inc

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36.100

-0.59(-1.608%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

HUBG Relative Valuation

HUBG's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, HUBG is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Hub Group Inc (HUBG) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 18.09 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 15.89. The fair price of Hub Group Inc (HUBG) is between 21.69 to 36.38 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

21.69-36.38

Current Price：36.10

Fair

18.09

Trailing

Forward

8.18

EV/EBITDA

Hub Group Inc. (HUBG) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.18. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.18. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.25, Undervalued between 4.25 and 5.72, Fairly Valued between 8.64 and 5.72, Overvalued between 8.64 and 10.11, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.11. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.18 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

16.80

EV/EBIT

Hub Group Inc. (HUBG) has a current EV/EBIT of 16.80. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.99. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.06, Undervalued between 5.06 and 9.02, Fairly Valued between 16.95 and 9.02, Overvalued between 16.95 and 20.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 20.91. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 16.80 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.59

Hub Group Inc. (HUBG) has a current PS of 0.59. The 5-year average PS is 0.56. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.40, Undervalued between 0.40 and 0.48, Fairly Valued between 0.64 and 0.48, Overvalued between 0.64 and 0.72, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.72. The current Forward PS of 0.59 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.15

P/OCF

Hub Group Inc. (HUBG) has a current P/OCF of 7.15. The 5-year average P/OCF is 7.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.84, Undervalued between 3.84 and 5.48, Fairly Valued between 8.74 and 5.48, Overvalued between 8.74 and 10.37, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.37. The current Forward P/OCF of 7.15 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.28

P/FCF

Hub Group Inc. (HUBG) has a current P/FCF of 8.28. The 5-year average P/FCF is 20.31. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -35.99, Undervalued between -35.99 and -7.84, Fairly Valued between 48.46 and -7.84, Overvalued between 48.46 and 76.62, and Strongly Overvalued above 76.62. The current Forward P/FCF of 8.28 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Hub Group Inc (HUBG) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.62 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -17.40% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.72, the current P/B ratio is about -21.90% higher. Hub Group Inc (HUBG) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 5.85%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 8.54%, the current FCF yield is approximately -31.55% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.11% , the current FCF yield is about -17.70% lower.

1.34

P/B

Median3y

1.62

Median5y

1.72

5.85

FCF Yield

Median3y

8.54

Median5y

7.11

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for HUBG's competitors is 0.60, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Hub Group Inc Corp (HUBG) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.59, which is -1.53% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -8.43%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Radiant Logistics Inc

Metalpha Technology Holding Ltd

Loss

128.55M

SFWL.O

SHENGFENG DEVELOPMENT Ltd

Loss

82.50M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of HUBG decreased by 22.41% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 2.71 to 2.97.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -8.43%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of HUBG in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-8.43%

999.49M → 915.22M

Revenue Growth

9.59%

2.71 → 2.97

Margin Expansion

-23.57%

27.79 → 21.24

P/E Change

-22.41%