Should I Buy HTHT? HTHT 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy H World Group Ltd (HTHT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

52.790

1 Day change

1.66%

52 Week Range

53.020

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: the chart is still leaning bearish/weak and there is no proprietary buy signal to override that.
Price is below the key pivot (48.905) with downside risk toward 47.35/46.39 supports before a cleaner bounce setup.
Fundamentals/analyst view are constructive, but near-term trading signals and price action don’t justify chasing today.

Technical Analysis

Trend/price location: HTHT closed at 48.04, sitting below the pivot level (48.905), implying near-term downside bias unless it reclaims ~48.9.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.331) and only “negatively contracting,” which suggests bearish momentum is easing but not reversed yet.
RSI: RSI(6) at 41.77 = weak-neutral (not oversold enough to signal a high-confidence bounce).
Moving averages: converging MAs = consolidation/indecision; not a confirmed uptrend.
Levels: Support S1 47.348 then S2 46.386; Resistance R1 50.461 then R2 51.423. A convincing break back above 48.905 improves the long setup; failure risks a drift to support.
Pattern-based projection: model implies a modestly negative near-term skew (60% chance of ~-0.5% next day; +1.88% next week; -5.9% next month), which is not ideal for buying “right now.”
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio at 0.71 leans bullish (more calls than puts outstanding), but it’s not extreme.
Flow (Volume): Today’s options volume is extremely low (5 total; 0 calls, 5 puts), so the volume-based sentiment read is low-confidence.
Volatility: 30D IV 36.53 vs historical vol 31.61 (options priced rich to realized); IV percentile ~57 suggests mid-range pricing, not a clear fear/greed extreme.
Liquidity note: With such low option volume, options data is not giving a strong actionable directional signal today.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

showed solid growth: revenue +8.14% YoY, net income +15.48% YoY, EPS +20% YoY, and gross margin up to 41.65 (+1.51 YoY), supporting the long-term thesis.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

and MACD still negative.

Financial Performance

2025/Q3 results (latest provided):
- Revenue: 972,576,378.75 (+8.14% YoY)
- Net Income: 205,245,611.32 (+15.48% YoY)
- EPS: 0.06 (+20.00% YoY)
- Gross Margin: 41.65 (+1.51 YoY)
Takeaway: profitability and margins improved faster than revenue, indicating healthy operating leverage in the quarter.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Most recent update (2025-11-18): Benchmark maintained a Buy and raised price target to $52 from $48 after above-expectation Q3 results.
Wall Street “pros”: improving earnings/margins, secular China hospitality tailwind, and a raised PT supports upside over time.
Wall Street “cons”: cyclical macro uncertainty noted by the analyst; near-term chart weakness suggests timing risk for buying immediately.
Politicians/congress: no recent congress trading data available (no signal from that channel).

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HTHT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HTHT is 55 USD with a low forecast of 51 USD and a high forecast of 62 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 51.930

Low

Averages

High

Current: 51.930

Low

Averages

High

Benchmark

Buy

maintain

$48 -> $52

AI Analysis

2025-11-18

Reason