Should I Buy HHH? HHH 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Howard Hughes Holdings Inc (HHH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

82.040

1 Day change

2.50%

52 Week Range

91.070

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: technicals are neutral-to-slightly-bearish (MACD below 0, MAs converging) and the pattern-based forward view flags ~-6.21% over the next month.
Upside exists (JPM PT $89 vs ~$81.8, hedge funds buying), but near-term risk/reward is not skewed enough to justify chasing here ahead of earnings.
Best stance today: Hold / do not initiate a new position at $81–$82.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Consolidation around the pivot with converging moving averages → no clean trend.
MACD: Histogram -0.0501 (below 0) and negatively contracting → bearish momentum is fading, but still not bullish.
RSI (6): 54.2 → neutral, no oversold bounce signal.
Levels: Pivot 81.419 (price ~81.77 slightly above). Near resistance 83.42 (R1) then 84.657 (R2); supports 79.417 (S1) then 78.18 (S2).
Quant pattern read: 80% probability points to -0.39% next day, +0.72% next week, -6.21% next month → near-term chop with weaker 1-month bias.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning skew: OI put/call 0.59 indicates more calls outstanding than puts (mildly bullish/less hedged).
Flow today: Put/call by volume 0.03 (very call-skewed), but total volume is small (31 contracts), so sentiment signal is not very strong.
Volatility: 30D IV 31.59% vs HV 29.09% → options priced a bit rich; IV percentile ~69.7 suggests elevated relative IV (market paying up for optionality into upcoming events).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Hedge funds are buying: reported buying amount +1028.6% QoQ (supportive demand signal).
- Capital structure/flexibility headline: $1B senior notes offering aimed at optimizing capital structure and enhancing flexibility.
- Analyst target uplift: JPMorgan raised PT to $89 (implies ~9% upside from ~$81.8).
- Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-19 (after hours) can re-rate the stock if results/guide surprise positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Leverage/interest burden risk: new senior notes can be interpreted as increased debt load despite “flexibility” messaging.
- No proprietary buy signal (AI Stock Picker / SwingMax) to justify an immediate, impatient entry.
- Technical posture not bullish: MACD still below zero; price still beneath the next clear breakout level (83.42).
- Near-term statistical bias: pattern-based outlook suggests downside risk over the next month (-6.21%).
- Event risk: earnings on 2026-02-19 can create a gap move either direction; current setup doesn’t offer a strong edge for buying immediately.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $390.235M, +19.28% YoY (strong top-line growth).
Net income: $119.508M, +64.23% YoY (profitability improving faster than sales).
EPS: $2.02, +38.36% YoY (solid earnings growth).
Gross margin: 56.27%, up 24.55% YoY (margin expansion supports quality of growth).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent change (2025-12-19): JPMorgan maintained Neutral, raised price target to $89 from $85 after the Vantage Group purchase agreement update.
Wall Street pros: improving fundamentals (Q3 growth and margins), hedge-fund accumulation, and PT implies moderate upside.
Wall Street cons: Neutral stance signals valuation/visibility not compelling enough for a Buy; upcoming financing activity and earnings event add near-term uncertainty.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HHH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HHH is 96.33 USD with a low forecast of 89 USD and a high forecast of 105 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 80.040

Low

Averages

96.33

High

105

Current: 80.040

Low

Averages

96.33

High

105

JPMorgan

Neutral

maintain

$85 -> $89

AI Analysis

2025-12-19

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$85 -> $89

AI Analysis

2025-12-19

maintain

Neutral

Reason

JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Howard Hughes to $89 from $85 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after the company announced an agreement to purchase Vantage Group. The firm updated the company's number excluding the deal.

Piper Sandler

Alexander Goldfarb

Overweight

maintain

$85 -> $95

2025-10-01

Reason

Piper Sandler

Alexander Goldfarb

Price Target

$85 -> $95

2025-10-01

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Goldfarb raised the firm's price target on Howard Hughes (HHH) to $95 from $85 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. At this year's shareholder meeting, Executive Chairman, Bill Ackman, announced the holding company may be near realizing its hunt for an insurance company, with potential around year-end, the firm says. Along with Ryan Israel, Chief Investment Officer, and David O'Reilly, Chief Executive Officer, Ackman discussed the importance of adding an insurance company as the first step in positioning Howard Hughes to be the next Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A).

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for HHH

Unlock Now

HHH Should I Buy

HHH Should I Buy

Should You Buy Howard Hughes Holdings Inc (HHH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch