Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that HCM stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $15.69, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $16.44. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $15.96. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $0.00, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $0.00. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HCM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
HCM stock price ended at $15.48 on Monday, after rising3.2%
The HUTCHMED (China) Ltd stock price increased by 3.2% on the last trading day (11 Aug 2025), rising from 15.12 to 15.48. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.51% , ranging from a day low of $15.12 to a day high of 15.5. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -13.90% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -78.14K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 51.05K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 786.89K.
HCM Technical Signals
HCM(HUTCHMED (China) Ltd Corp) has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-08-06. The total price change during this trend is -13.64%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of HCM over the last 5 trading days is 1.14M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
HUTCHMED (China) Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, August 12, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $20.14, and $21.99. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $14.13, and $12.27. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
HCM Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of HUTCHMED (China) Ltd(HCM) as of 08 Aug 2025 is 23.19%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 16.31 to 15.00. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Buy
Sell
3
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
14.541
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-193.37
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.00129
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
3.443
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-82.716
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
HCM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to HUTCHMED (China) Ltd(HCM), our algorithm predicts HCM's 1-month price at $12.36, with an -17.6%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.40%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for HUTCHMED (China) Ltd (HCM.O) stock, as of Sunday, August 10, 2025 , forecasts a -17.6% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ATS.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.4%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
Based on HCM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in August is40.00%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in HCM. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at77.78%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying HUTCHMED (China) Ltd (HCM.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (77.78%), while January has the lowest probability (22.22%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows HUTCHMED (China) Ltd. (HCM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HCM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying HUTCHMED (China) Ltd (HCM.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying HUTCHMED (China) Ltd (HCM.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (77.78%), while January has the lowest probability (22.22%).
How has HUTCHMED (China) Ltd. (HCM)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
HCM's stock price rose by 10.56% in 2023,decreased by -17.70% in 2024, and went up by 2.65%in 2025.
Bearish technical signals of HCM include: AO_5_34 < 0, MOM_10 < 0, 10-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA.
Is HCM a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
HCM has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for HCM is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of HCM.
What is the trend of HUTCHMED (China) Ltd (HCM)'s moving average?
HUTCHMED (China) Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of August 12 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for HCM stock next month?
The price prediction chart for HUTCHMED (China) Ltd (HCM.O) stock, as of August 10 2025, forecasts a -17.6% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ATS stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.4%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for HCM Stock?
HCM stock is predicted to reach **$17.22** by the end of 2025, driven by the recent NMPA approval of its combination therapy for advanced lung cancer, which is expected to boost investor confidence. The stock closed at $15 on August 8, 2025, and technical indicators suggest a bullish recovery.
What is price prediction 2030 for HCM Stock?
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