The chart below shows how HBM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, HBM sees a -1.10% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.77% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.60%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Record Gold Production Increase: 1. Record Gold Production: Hudbay achieved a record gold production of 89,000 ounces in Q3 2024, representing a 52% increase from the previous quarter, driven by higher gold grades and mill throughput.
Cash Flow Increase: 2. Significant Cash Flow Generation: The company generated $186 million in operating cash flow before changes in noncash working capital, a 53% increase compared to the second quarter, attributed to higher gold production and sales volumes.
Cash Cost Guidance Improvement: 3. Improved Cash Cost Guidance: Hudbay improved its full-year consolidated cash cost guidance to a range of $0.65 to $0.85 per pound of copper, down from the previous range of $0.90 to $1.10 per pound, reflecting exceptional cost performance year-to-date.
Debt Reduction Success: 4. Debt Reduction Achievements: The company reduced gross debt by nearly $300 million over the past 12 months, including over $65 million in the third quarter alone, significantly improving its financial position.
Mill Performance Improvement: 5. Enhanced Operating Performance: The Constancia mill achieved an average throughput of 87,000 tons per day year-to-date, a 15% increase above its design capacity, contributing to its status as the lowest cost open pit copper mine in South America.
Negative
Ore Mining Decline: 1. Declining Ore Mined: Total ore mined in the third quarter decreased by 27% compared to the prior quarter, indicating a significant reduction in mining activity.
Copper Production Outlook: 2. Lower Copper Production Guidance: Full year copper production in Peru is expected to trend towards the lower end of the guidance range due to lower-than-expected grades, which could impact overall revenue.
Cash Cost Challenges: 3. Increased Cash Costs in British Columbia: Year-to-date cash costs in British Columbia are above the higher end of the 2024 guidance range, suggesting ongoing cost management challenges despite recent improvements.
British Columbia Production Challenges: 4. Underperformance in British Columbia: The British Columbia operations are expected to be slightly below the low end of the 2024 guidance range for copper production, indicating potential operational inefficiencies.
Air Quality Permit Delay: 5. Delayed Air Quality Permit: The air quality permit for Copper World is expected to be received in late 2024, with a possibility of slipping into early 2025, which could delay project timelines.
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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